Eliciting risk and time preferences

被引:625
作者
Andersen, Steffen [1 ,2 ]
Harrison, Glenn W. [3 ]
Lau, Morten I. [4 ]
Rutstrom, E. Elisabet [3 ]
机构
[1] Copenhagen Business Sch, Dept Econ, Copenhagen, Denmark
[2] Copenhagen Business Sch, Ctr Econ & Business Res, Copenhagen, Denmark
[3] Univ Cent Florida, Coll Business Adm, Dept Econ, Orlando, FL 32816 USA
[4] Univ Durham, Durham Business Sch, Dept Econ & Finance, Durham, England
关键词
discount rate; risk aversion; field experiment;
D O I
10.1111/j.1468-0262.2008.00848.x
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
We design experiments to jointly elicit risk and time preferences for the adult Danish population. Since subjects are generally risk averse, we find that joint elicitation provides estimates of discount rates that are significantly lower than those found in previous studies and more in line with what would be considered as a priori reasonable rates. The statistical specification relies on a theoretical framework that involves a latent trade-off between long-run optimization and short-run temptation. Estimation of this specification is undertaken using structural, maximum likelihood methods. Our main results based on exponential discounting are robust to alternative specifications such as hyperbolic discounting. These results have direct implications for attempts to elicit time preferences, as well as debates over the appropriate domain of the utility function when characterizing risk aversion and time consistency.
引用
收藏
页码:583 / 618
页数:36
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