Recent increases in tropical cyclone precipitation extremes over the US east coast

被引:0
作者
Maxwell, Justin T. [1 ]
Bregy, Joshua C. [1 ,2 ]
Robeson, Scott M. [1 ]
Knapp, Paul A. [3 ]
Soule, Peter T. [4 ]
Trouet, Valerie [5 ]
机构
[1] Indiana Univ, Dept Geog, Bloomington, IN 47405 USA
[2] Indiana Univ, Dept Earth & Atmospher Sci, Bloomington, IN 47405 USA
[3] Univ North Carolina Greensboro, Dept Geog Environm & Sustainabil, Greensboro, NC 27402 USA
[4] Appalachian State Univ, Dept Geog & Planning, Boone, NC 28608 USA
[5] Univ Arizona, Lab Tree Ring Res, Tucson, AZ 85721 USA
关键词
tropical cyclones; tree rings; translation speed; extreme precipitation; CLIMATE-CHANGE; UNITED-STATES; LONGLEAF PINE; TIME-SERIES; RAINFALL; VARIABILITY; RECONSTRUCTION; OSCILLATION; HURRICANES; UNCERTAINTIES;
D O I
10.1073/pnas.2105636118|1of8
中图分类号
O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
The impacts of inland flooding caused by tropical cyclones (TCs), including loss of life, infrastructure disruption, and alteration of natural landscapes, have increased over recent decades. While these impacts are well documented, changes in TC precipitation extremes- the proximate cause of such inland flooding-have been more difficult to detect. Here, we present a latewood tree-ring-based record of seasonal (June 1 through October 15) TC precipitation sums (sigma TCP) from the region in North America that receives the most sigma TCP: coastal North and South Carolina. Our 319-y-long sigma TCP reconstruction reveals that sigma TCP extremes (>0.95 quantile) have increased by 2 to 4 mm/decade since 1700 CE, with most of the increase occurring in the last 60 y. Consistent with the hypothesis that TCs are moving slower under anthropogenic climate change, we show that seasonal sigma TCP along the US East Coast are positively related to seasonal average TC duration and TC translation speed.
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页数:8
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