Does using nonnumerical terms to describe risk aid violence risk communication? Clinician agreement and decision making

被引:64
作者
Hilton, N. Zoe [1 ,2 ]
Carter, Angela M. [1 ,3 ]
Harris, Grant T. [1 ,2 ,3 ]
Sharpe, Amilynn J. B. [1 ]
机构
[1] Mental Hlth Ctr Penetanguishene, Toronto, ON, Canada
[2] Univ Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada
[3] Queens Univ, Kingston, ON K7L 3N6, Canada
关键词
risk assessment; risk communication; violence; decision making;
D O I
10.1177/0886260507309337
中图分类号
DF [法律]; D9 [法律];
学科分类号
0301 ;
摘要
Actuarial risk assessments yield valid numerical information about violence risk, but research suggests that forensic clinicians prefer to communicate risk using nonnumerical information (i.e., verbal terms such as high risk). In an experimental questionnaire study, 60 forensic clinicians disagreed on the interpretation of nonnumerical terms, and their nonnumerical risk estimates for one group of violent offenders were influenced by comparison with another group. Adding nonnumerical terms to numerical probability statements had no effect on hypothetical forensic decisions. These findings suggest that nonnumerical descriptive terms do not aid effective communication of violence risk and that contextual information might artificially affect estimated risk.
引用
收藏
页码:171 / 188
页数:18
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