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Influence of periodic traffic congestion on epidemic spreading
被引:5
|作者:
Zheng, Muhua
[1
]
Ruan, Zhongyuan
[2
]
Tang, Ming
[3
]
Do, Younghae
[4
]
Liu, Zonghua
[1
]
机构:
[1] E China Normal Univ, Dept Phys, Shanghai 200062, Peoples R China
[2] Cent European Univ, Ctr Network Sci, Nador U 9, H-1051 Budapest, Hungary
[3] Univ Elect Sci & Technol China, Web Sci Ctr, Chengdu 611731, Peoples R China
[4] Kyungpook Natl Univ, Dept Math, Daegu 702701, South Korea
来源:
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF MODERN PHYSICS C
|
2016年
/
27卷
/
05期
关键词:
Epidemic spreading;
complex network;
traffic congestion;
SCALE-FREE NETWORKS;
DETRENDED FLUCTUATION ANALYSIS;
COMPLEX NETWORKS;
CONDENSATION;
DYNAMICS;
D O I:
10.1142/S0129183116500480
中图分类号:
TP39 [计算机的应用];
学科分类号:
081203 ;
0835 ;
摘要:
In the metropolis, traffic congestion has become a very serious problem, especially in rush hours. This congestion causes people to have more chance to contact each other and thus will accelerate epidemic spreading. To explain this observation, we present a reaction-diffusion (RD) model with a periodic varying diffusion rate to represent the daily traveling behaviors of human beings and its influence to epidemic spreading. By extensive numerical simulations, we find that the epidemic spreading can be significantly influenced by traffic congestion where the amplitude, period and duration of diffusion rate are the three key parameters. Furthermore, a brief theory is presented to explain the effects of the three key parameters. These findings suggest that except the normal ways of controlling contagion in working places and long-distance traveling, controlling the contagion in daily traffic congestion may be another effective way to reduce epidemic spreading.
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页数:14
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