Media sentiment and short stocks performance during a systemic crisis

被引:48
作者
Umar, Zaghum [1 ]
Adekoya, Oluwasegun Babatunde [2 ]
Oliyide, Johnson Ayobami [2 ]
Gubareva, Mariya [3 ,4 ]
机构
[1] Zayed Univ, Coll Business, POB 144534, Abu Dhabi, U Arab Emirates
[2] Fed Univ Agr, Abeokuta, Nigeria
[3] Inst Politecn Lisboa, ISCAL Lisbon Accounting & Business Sch, Av Miguel Bombarda 20, P-1069035 Lisbon, Portugal
[4] SOCIUS CSG Res Social Sci & Management, Rua Miguel Lupi 20, P-1249078 Lisbon, Portugal
关键词
Covid-19; Stock market; Short selling; Risk and volatility spillovers; Time-varying connectedness; Granger causality; Media coverage; TVP-VAR model; Systemic crisis; VOLATILITY;
D O I
10.1016/j.irfa.2021.101896
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
During crisis periods, investors often engage in short selling of stocks, in line with their pessimistic view of the present and future market performance as well as with the hope to repurchase the stocks back in the future at much lower prices. This attitude not only affects stock returns, but also may lead to significant risk transmission among assets. Addressing this concern, our study examines the returns and volatility connectedness between media coverage index (MCI) and high short interest stocks during the recent Covid-19 pandemic. We document MCI as a net transmitter for all returns series, whereas the results for volatility series exhibits binary behavior, acting as either a transmitter or recipient depending on the considered sector of economic activity. We highlight that the healthcare and energy sector stocks behave as net recipients of both, returns and volatility; hence, a certain caution is required while including them in investment portfolios. Finally, the causality test indicates that the MCI is more strongly connected with stock returns than with volatilities, thus signaling that media, may not only provoke a rise in stock volatility, but cause intense risk transmission especially during a systemic crisis similar to Covid-19.
引用
收藏
页数:19
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