Multi-phase epidemic model by a Markov chain

被引：2

作者：

Buccellato, Stefania Maria ^{[1
]}

Tornatore, Elisabetta ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Univ Palermo, Dipartimento Matemat & Applicaz, I-90123 Palermo, Italy

来源：

PHYSICA A-STATISTICAL MECHANICS AND ITS APPLICATIONS | 2008年 / 387卷 / 14期

关键词：

epidemic models; Markov chain; numerical simulation;

D O I：

10.1016/j.physa.2008.01.115

中图分类号：

O4 [物理学];

学科分类号：

0702 ;

摘要：

In this paper we propose a continuous-time Markov chain to describe the spread of an infective and non-mortal disease into a community numerically limited and subjected to an external infection. We make a numerical simulation that shows tendencies for recurring epidemic outbreaks and for fade-out or extinction of the infection. (c) 2008 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

引用

页码：3555 / 3562

页数：8

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