Multi-phase epidemic model by a Markov chain

被引：2
|
作者：
Buccellato, Stefania Maria [1 ]
Tornatore, Elisabetta [1 ]
机构：
[1] Univ Palermo, Dipartimento Matemat & Applicaz, I-90123 Palermo, Italy
来源：
PHYSICA A-STATISTICAL MECHANICS AND ITS APPLICATIONS | 2008年 / 387卷 / 14期
关键词：
epidemic models; Markov chain; numerical simulation;
D O I：
10.1016/j.physa.2008.01.115
中图分类号：
O4 [物理学];
学科分类号：
0702 ;
摘要：
In this paper we propose a continuous-time Markov chain to describe the spread of an infective and non-mortal disease into a community numerically limited and subjected to an external infection. We make a numerical simulation that shows tendencies for recurring epidemic outbreaks and for fade-out or extinction of the infection. (c) 2008 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码：3555 / 3562
页数：8
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