Measuring multiscaling in financial time-series

被引:43
|
作者
Buonocore, R. J. [1 ]
Aste, T. [2 ,3 ]
Di Matteo, T. [1 ,2 ]
机构
[1] Kings Coll London, Dept Math, London WC2R 2LS, England
[2] UCL, Dept Comp Sci, Gower St, London WC1E 6BT, England
[3] Univ London London Sch Econ & Polit Sci, System Risk Ctr, Houghton St, London WC2A 2AE, England
基金
英国经济与社会研究理事会;
关键词
Multiscaling; Multifractality; Central limit theorem; Power law tails; Autocorrelation; SWITCHING MULTIFRACTAL MODEL; DETRENDED FLUCTUATION ANALYSIS; POWER-LAW DISTRIBUTIONS; ASSET RETURNS; SCALING BEHAVIOR; HURST EXPONENT; COMPONENTS;
D O I
10.1016/j.chaos.2015.11.022
中图分类号
O1 [数学];
学科分类号
0701 ; 070101 ;
摘要
We discuss the origin of multiscaling in financial time-series and investigate how to best quantify it. Our methodology consists in separating the different sources of measured multifractality by analyzing the multi/uni-scaling behavior of synthetic time-series with known properties. We use the results from the synthetic time-series to interpret the measure of multifractality of real log-returns time-series. The main finding is that the aggregation horizon of the returns can introduce a strong bias effect on the measure of multifractality. This effect can become especially important when returns distributions have power law tails with exponents in the range (2, 5). We discuss the right aggregation horizon to mitigate this bias. (C) 2015 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
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页码:38 / 47
页数:10
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