Supply chains for processed potato and tomato products in the United States will have enhanced resilience with planting adaptation strategies

被引：17

作者：

Gustafson, David ^{[1
]}

Asseng, Senthold ^{[2
,15
]}

Kruse, John ^{[3
]}

Thoma, Greg ^{[4
]}

Guan, Kaiyu ^{[5
]}

Hoogenboom, Gerrit ^{[2
]}

Matlock, Marty ^{[4
]}

McLean, Morven ^{[1
,16
]}

Parajuli, Ranjan ^{[4
]}

Rajagopalan, Kirti ^{[6
]}

Stockle, Claudio ^{[6
]}

Sulser, Timothy B. ^{[7
]}

Tarar, Layla ^{[1
]}

Wiebe, Keith ^{[7
]}

Zhao, Chuang ^{[2
]}

Fraisse, Clyde ^{[2
]}

Gimenez, Carmen ^{[8
]}

Intarapapong, Pon ^{[3
]}

Karimi, Tina ^{[9
]}

Kruger, Chad ^{[6
]}

Li, Yan ^{[5
]}

Marshall, Elizabeth ^{[10
]}

Nelson, Roger Leroy ^{[6
]}

Pronk, Annette ^{[11
]}

Raymundo, Rubi ^{[12
]}

Riddle, Anne A. ^{[13
]}

Rosenbohm, Marc ^{[3
]}

Sonke, Dan ^{[14
,17
]}

van Evert, Frits ^{[11
]}

Wu, Genghong ^{[5
]}

Xiao, Liujun ^{[2
]}

机构：

[1] Agr & Food Syst Inst, Washington, DC 20005 USA

[2] Univ Florida, Agr & Biol Engn Dept, Gainesville, FL USA

[3] WAEES, Columbia, MO USA

[4] Univ Arkansas, Fayetteville, AR 72701 USA

[5] Univ Illinois, Urbana, IL 61801 USA

[6] Washington State Univ, Pullman, WA 99164 USA

[7] Int Food Policy Res Inst, Washington, DC 20036 USA

[8] Univ Cordoba, Dept Agron, Cordoba, Spain

[9] Cornell Univ, Ithaca, NY USA

[10] USDA, Nat Resources Conservat Serv, Washington, DC 20250 USA

[11] Wageningen Plant Res, Wageningen, Netherlands

[12] Kansas State Univ, Manhattan, KS 66506 USA

[13] USDA, Econ Res Serv, Washington, DC USA

[14] Campbell Soup, Davis, CA USA

[15] Tech Univ Munich, Dept Life Sci Engn, Freising Weihenstephan, Germany

[16] Bill & Melinda Gates Agr Innovat, St Louis, MO USA

[17] Blue Diamond Growers, Sacramento, CA USA

来源：

NATURE FOOD | 2021年 / 2卷 / 11期

关键词：

CLIMATE-CHANGE; VEGETABLE PRODUCTION; MODEL; AGRICULTURE; CROPSYST; NITROGEN; IMPACTS; QUALITY; GROWTH; FRUIT;

D O I：

10.1038/s43016-021-00383-w

中图分类号：

TS2 [食品工业];

学科分类号：

0832 ;

摘要：

An integrated methodology that includes climate, crop, economic and life cycle assessment models was developed to explore the climate adaptation and mitigation opportunities throughout the US potato and tomato supply chains. This study shows that supply chains for two popular processed products in the United States, French fries and pasta sauce, will be remarkably resilient, through planting adaptation strategies. Food systems are increasingly challenged to meet growing demand for specialty crops due to the effects of climate change and increased competition for resources. Here, we apply an integrated methodology that includes climate, crop, economic and life cycle assessment models to US potato and tomato supply chains. We find that supply chains for two popular processed products in the United States, French fries and pasta sauce, will be remarkably resilient, through planting adaptation strategies that avoid higher temperatures. Land and water footprints will decline over time due to higher yields, and greenhouse gas emissions can be mitigated by waste reduction and process modification. Our integrated methodology can be applied to other crops, health-based consumer scenarios (fresh versus processed) and geographies, thereby informing decision-making throughout supply chains. Employing such methods will be essential as food systems are forced to adapt and transform to become carbon neutral due to the imperatives of climate change.

引用

页码：862 / +

页数：12

共 80 条

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