Forecasting natural gas consumption

被引:172
作者
Soldo, Bozidar [1 ]
机构
[1] HEP Plin Ltd, HR-31000 Osijek, Croatia
关键词
Forecasting natural gas consumption; Predicting natural gas demand; Natural gas forecasting models; ENERGY-CONSUMPTION; NEURAL-NETWORK; RESIDENTIAL CONSUMPTION; STATISTICAL-MODEL; DEMAND; PREDICTION; COMBINATION; ELECTRICITY; FUTURE; RISK;
D O I
10.1016/j.apenergy.2011.11.003
中图分类号
TE [石油、天然气工业]; TK [能源与动力工程];
学科分类号
0807 ; 0820 ;
摘要
Publishing papers in the area of forecasting natural gas consumption has begun in the middle of last century and led to a tremendous surge in research activities in the past decade. This paper presents a state-of-the-art survey of forecasting natural gas consumption. Purpose of this paper is to provide analysis and synthesis of published research in this area from beginning to the end of 2010, insights on applied area, used data, models and tools to achieve usable results, in order to be helpful base for future researchers. (C) 2011 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:26 / 37
页数:12
相关论文
共 77 条
[1]   Forecasting world natural gas supply [J].
Al-Fattah, SM ;
Startzman, RA .
JOURNAL OF PETROLEUM TECHNOLOGY, 2000, 52 (05) :62-+
[2]  
Al-Jarri A S., 1997, Em Proc SPE Ann Tech Conf Exhibit, Pi, P331
[3]   Forecasting residential natural gas demand [J].
Aras, H ;
Aras, N .
ENERGY SOURCES, 2004, 26 (05) :463-472
[4]   Forecasting Residential Consumption of Natural Gas Using Genetic Algorithms [J].
Aras, Nil .
ENERGY EXPLORATION & EXPLOITATION, 2008, 26 (04) :241-266
[5]   Comparison of neural network, conditional demand analysis, and engineering approaches for modeling end-use energy consumption in the residential sector [J].
Aydinalp-Koksal, Merih ;
Ugursal, V. Ismet .
APPLIED ENERGY, 2008, 85 (04) :271-296
[6]   An adaptive network-based fuzzy inference system for short-term natural gas demand estimation: Uncertain and complex environments [J].
Azadeh, A. ;
Asadzadeh, S. M. ;
Ghanbari, A. .
ENERGY POLICY, 2010, 38 (03) :1529-1536
[7]   POOLING CROSS SECTION AND TIME SERIES DATA IN ESTIMATION OF A DYNAMIC MODEL - DEMAND FOR NATURAL GAS [J].
BALESTRA, P ;
NERLOVE, M .
ECONOMETRICA, 1966, 34 (03) :585-&
[8]   Regional end-use gas demand in Australia [J].
Bartels, R ;
Fiebig, DG ;
Nahm, D .
ECONOMIC RECORD, 1996, 72 (219) :319-331
[9]  
Behrouznia A, 2010, INT C INT ADV SYST I
[10]   THE DEMAND FOR ELECTRICITY AND NATURAL-GAS IN THE NORTHEASTERN UNITED-STATES [J].
BEIERLEIN, JG ;
DUNN, JW ;
MCCONNON, JC .
REVIEW OF ECONOMICS AND STATISTICS, 1981, 63 (03) :403-408