ANTHROPOGENIC INFLUENCE ON THE 2018 SUMMER WARM SPELL IN EUROPE: THE IMPACT OF DIFFERENT SPATIO-TEMPORAL SCALES

被引：32
作者：
Leach, Nicholas J. [1 ]
Li, Sihan [2 ,3 ]
Sparrow, Sarah [2 ]
van Oldenborgh, Geert Jan [4 ]
Lott, Fraser C. [5 ]
Weisheimer, Antje [1 ,6 ,7 ]
Allllen, Myles R. [1 ,3 ]
机构：
[1] Univ Oxford, Dept Phys Atmospher Ocean & Planetary Phys, Oxford, England
[2] Univ Oxford, Oxford ERes Ctr, Dept Engn Sci, Oxford, England
[3] Univ Oxford, Environm Change Inst, Sch Geog & Environm, Oxford, England
[4] Koninklijk Nederlands Meteorol Inst, De Bilt, Netherlands
[5] Met Off Hadley Ctr, Exeter, Devon, England
[6] Univ Oxford, NCAS, Dept Phys, Oxford, England
[7] European Ctr Medium Range Weather Forecasts ECMWF, Reading, Berks, England
来源：
BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY | 2020年 / 101卷 / 01期
关键词：
HIGH-RESOLUTION; CLIMATE; ATTRIBUTION; PROJECTIONS; WEATHER; SYSTEM;
D O I：
10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0201.1
中图分类号：
P4 [大气科学（气象学）];
学科分类号：
0706 ; 070601 ;
摘要：
We demonstrate that, in attribution studies, events defined over longer time scales generally produce higher probability ratios due to lower interannual variability, reconciling seemingly inconsistent attribution results of Europe's 2018 summer heatwaves in reported studies.
引用
收藏
页码：S41 / S46
页数：6
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