Cumulative prospect theory and the St. Petersburg paradox

被引:85
作者
Rieger, MO
Wang, M
机构
[1] ETH, Inst Econ Res, CH-8092 Zurich, Switzerland
[2] Univ Zurich, Math Inst, CH-8057 Zurich, Switzerland
关键词
cumulative prospect theory; probability weighting function; St. Petersburg paradox;
D O I
10.1007/s00199-005-0641-6
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
We find that in cumulative prospect theory (CPT) with a concave value function in gains, a lottery with finite expected value may have infinite subjective value. This problem does not occur in expected utility theory. The paradox occurs in particular in the setting and the parameter regime studied by Tversky and Kahneman [15] and in subsequent works. We characterize situations in CPT where the problem can be resolved. In particular, we define a class of admissible probability distributions and admissible parameter regimes for the weighting- and value functions for which finiteness of the subjective value can be proved. Alternatively, we suggest a new weighting function for CPT which guarantees finite subjective value for all lotteries with finite expected value, independent of the choice of the value function. Some of these results have already been found independently by Blavatskyy [4] in the context of discrete lotteries.
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页码:665 / 679
页数:15
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