Atmospheric Temperature Prediction Based on a BiLSTM-Attention Model

被引:21
作者
Hao, Xueli [1 ]
Liu, Ying [1 ]
Pei, Lili [1 ]
Li, Wei [1 ]
Du, Yaohui [1 ]
机构
[1] Changan Univ, Sch Informat Engn, Xian 710064, Peoples R China
来源
SYMMETRY-BASEL | 2022年 / 14卷 / 11期
基金
中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词
bidirectional long short-term memory network; attention mechanism; machine learning; temperature prediction;
D O I
10.3390/sym14112470
中图分类号
O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
To address the problem that traditional models are not effective in predicting atmospheric temperature, this paper proposes an atmospheric temperature prediction model based on symmetric BiLSTM (bidirectional long short-term memory)-Attention model. Firstly, the meteorological data from five major stations in Beijing were integrated, cleaned, and normalized to build an atmospheric temperature prediction dataset containing multiple feature dimensions; then, a BiLSTM memory network was used to construct with forward and backward information in the time dimension. And the limitations of the traditional LSTM method in long-term time series analysis were solved by introducing the attention mechanism to achieve the prediction analysis of atmospheric temperature. Finally, by comparing the prediction results with those of BiLSTM, LSTM-Attention, and LSTM, it is revealed that the proposed model has the best prediction effect, with a MAE value of 0.013, which is 0.72%, 0.41%, and 1.24% lower than those of BiLSTM, LSTM-Attention, and LSTM, respectively; the R-2 value reaches 0.9618, which is 2.73%, 1.23%, and 4.98% higher than BiLSTM, LSTM-Attention, and LSTM, respectively. The results show that the symmetrical BiLSTM-Attention atmospheric temperature prediction model can effectively improve the prediction accuracy of temperature data, and the model can also be used to predict other time series data.
引用
收藏
页数:21
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