Causation and causal inference in epidemiology

被引:757
作者
Rothman, KJ
Greenland, S
机构
[1] Boston Univ, Med Ctr, Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Epidemiol, Boston, MA 02118 USA
[2] Univ Calif Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA 90024 USA
关键词
D O I
10.2105/AJPH.2004.059204
中图分类号
R1 [预防医学、卫生学];
学科分类号
1004 ; 120402 ;
摘要
Concepts of cause and causal inference are largely self-taught from early learning experiences. A model of causation that describes causes in terms of sufficient causes and their component causes illuminates important principles such as multicausality, the dependence of the strength of component causes on the prevalence of complementary component causes, and interaction between component causes. Philosophers agree that causal propositions cannot be proved, and find flaws or practical limitations in all philosophies of causal inference. Hence, the role of logic, belief, and observation in evaluating causal propositions is not settled. Causal inference in epidemiology is better viewed as an exercise in measurement of an effect rather than as a criterion-guided process for deciding whether an effect is present or not.
引用
收藏
页码:S144 / S150
页数:7
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