Hurricane damage risk assessment in the Caribbean: An analysis using synthetic hurricane events and nightlight imagery

被引:20
作者
Bertinelli, Luisito [1 ]
Mohan, Preeya [2 ]
Strobl, Eric [3 ]
机构
[1] Univ Luxembourg, CREA, 162a,Ave Faiencerie, L-1511 Luxembourg, Luxembourg
[2] Univ W Indies, SALISES, St Augustine, Trinidad Tobago
[3] Ecole Polytech, F-91128 Palaiseau, France
关键词
Hurricane risk and damages; Synthetic storm tracks; Nightlight imagery; MODEL;
D O I
10.1016/j.ecolecon.2016.02.004
中图分类号
Q14 [生态学(生物生态学)];
学科分类号
071012 ; 0713 ;
摘要
History has shown that hurricanes can cause catastrophic destruction and impede economic growth in the Caribbean. Nevertheless, there is essentially as of date no comprehensive quantitative risk and anticipated loss assessment for the region. In this paper we use synthetic hurricane tracks and local income proxies to estimate expected risk and losses if a climate similar to the last 30 years prevails. We show that on average, the annual fraction of expected property damage and subsequent impacts on income are nonnegligible, with large variations across islands. (C) 2016 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:135 / 144
页数:10
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