On the qualitative comparison of decisions having positive and negative features

被引:34
作者
Dubois, Didier [1 ]
Fargier, Helene [1 ]
Bonnefon, Jean-Francois [2 ]
机构
[1] Univ Toulouse, IRIT, CNRS, F-31062 Toulouse, France
[2] Univ Toulouse, CLLE, CNRS, UTM,EPHE, F-31058 Toulouse 9, France
关键词
D O I
10.1613/jair.2520
中图分类号
TP18 [人工智能理论];
学科分类号
081104 ; 0812 ; 0835 ; 1405 ;
摘要
Making a decision is often a matter of listing and comparing positive and negative arguments. In such cases, the evaluation scale for decisions should be considered bipolar, that is, negative and positive values should be explicitly distinguished. That is what is done, for example, in Cumulative Prospect Theory. However, contrary to the latter framework that presupposes genuine numerical assessments, human agents often decide on the basis of an ordinal ranking of the pros and the cons, and by focusing on the most salient arguments. In other terms, the decision process is qualitative as well as bipolar. In this article, based on a bipolar extension of possibility theory, we de. ne and axiomatically characterize several decision rules tailored for the joint handling of positive and negative arguments in an ordinal setting. The simplest rules can be viewed as extensions of the maximin and maximax criteria to the bipolar case, and consequently suffer from poor decisive power. More decisive rules that re. ne the former are also proposed. These refinements agree both with principles of efficiency and with the spirit of order-of-magnitude reasoning, that prevails in qualitative decision theory. The most refined decision rule uses leximin rankings of the pros and the cons, and the ideas of counting arguments of equal strength and cancelling pros by cons. It is shown to come down to a special case of Cumulative Prospect Theory, and to subsume the "Take the Best" heuristic studied by cognitive psychologists.
引用
收藏
页码:385 / 417
页数:33
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