Health burden and economic loss attributable to ambient PM2.5 in Iran based on the ground and satellite data

被引:34
作者
Faridi, Sasan [1 ,2 ]
Bayat, Reza [3 ]
Cohen, Aaron J. [4 ,5 ,6 ]
Sharafkhani, Ensieh [7 ]
Brook, Jeffrey R. [8 ]
Niazi, Sadegh [9 ]
Shamsipour, Mansour [10 ]
Amini, Heresh [11 ,12 ]
Naddafi, Kazem [1 ,2 ]
Hassanvand, Mohammad Sadegh [1 ,2 ]
机构
[1] Univ Tehran Med Sci, Ctr Air Pollut Res CAPR, Inst Environm Res IER, 8th Floor,1547 North Kargar Ave, Tehran, Iran
[2] Univ Tehran Med Sci, Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Environm Hlth Engn, Tehran, Iran
[3] Tehran Municipal, Tehran Urban Planning & Res Ctr, Tehran, Iran
[4] Univ Washington, Inst Hlth Metr & Evaluat, Seattle, WA 98195 USA
[5] Boston Univ, Sch Publ Hlth, Boston, MA USA
[6] Hlth Effects Inst, Boston, MA USA
[7] Univ Tehran, Coll Engn, Sch Environm, Tehran, Iran
[8] Univ Toronto, Dana Lana Sch Publ Hlth, Toronto, ON M5T 1P8, Canada
[9] Queensland Univ Technol QUT, Fac Sci, Sch Earth & Atmospher Sci, Int Lab Air Qual & Hlth ILAQH, Brisbane, Qld 4001, Australia
[10] Univ Tehran Med Sci, Inst Environm Res IER, Dept Res Methodol & Data Anal, Tehran, Iran
[11] Univ Copenhagen, Dept Publ Hlth, Copenhagen, Denmark
[12] Harvard TH Chan Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Environm Hlth, Boston, MA USA
关键词
OUTDOOR AIR-POLLUTION; CARDIOVASCULAR-DISEASE; EXPOSURE; RISK; CONSEQUENCES; MORTALITY; IMPACTS; AHVAZ; PM10; TIME;
D O I
10.1038/s41598-022-18613-x
中图分类号
O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
We estimated mortality and economic loss attributable to PM2 center dot 5 air pollution exposure in 429 counties of Iran in 2018. Ambient PM2.5-related deaths were estimated using the Global Exposure Mortality Model (GEMM). According to the ground-monitored and satellite-based PM2.5 data, the annual mean population-weighted PM2 center dot 5 concentrations for Iran were 30.1 and 38.6 mu g m(-3), respectively. We estimated that long-term exposure to ambient PM2.5 contributed to 49,303 (95% confidence interval (CI) 40,914-57,379) deaths in adults >= 25 yr. from all-natural causes based on ground monitored data and 58,873 (95% CI 49,024-68,287) deaths using satellite-based models for PM2.5. The crude death rate and the age-standardized death rate per 100,000 population for age group >= 25 year due to ground-monitored PM2.5 data versus satellite-based exposure estimates was 97 (95% CI 81-113) versus 116 (95% CI 97-135) and 125 (95% CI 104-145) versus 149 (95% CI 124-173), respectively. For ground-monitored and satellite-based PM2.5 data, the economic loss attributable to ambient PM2.5-total mortality was approximately 10,713 (95% CI 8890-12,467) and 12,792.1 (95% CI 10,652.0-14,837.6) million USD, equivalent to nearly 3.7% (95% CI 3.06-4.29) and 4.3% (95% CI 3.6-4.5.0) of the total gross domestic product in Iran in 2018.
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页数:12
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