Predicting the frequency of accidents in port areas by developing event trees from historical analysis

被引：65

作者：

Ronza, A ^{[1
]}

Félez, S ^{[1
]}

Darbra, RM ^{[1
]}

Carol, S ^{[1
]}

Vílchez, JA ^{[1
]}

Casal, J ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Univ Politecn Catalunya, Inst Estudis Catalans, Dept Chem Engn, CERTEC,ETSEIB, E-08028 Barcelona, Catalonia, Spain

来源：

JOURNAL OF LOSS PREVENTION IN THE PROCESS INDUSTRIES | 2003年 / 16卷 / 06期

关键词：

ports; accidents; historical analysis; risk analysis; event trees; environmental assessment;

D O I：

10.1016/j.jlp.2003.08.010

中图分类号：

TQ [化学工业];

学科分类号：

0817 ;

摘要：

The historical analysis of 828 accidents in port areas, which have been selected from a database, has been used to identify the sequences of the accidents. Processing these data has allowed the event trees and the probability of the various accident scenarios to be determined. By using these event trees and figures detailing the frequency of the events that initiated the accidents, as taken from various authors, the frequency of the accidents has been determined. (C) 2003 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

引用

页码：551 / 560

页数：10

共 19 条

[1]

*4 EL LIM, 1993, C2456 TECSA 4 EL LIM

[2]

*BTC, 2002, BTC PROJ EIA TURK DR, pCH14

[3]

CAROL S, 2001, P EUR C SAF REL ESRE, V3, P1491

[4] Analysis and control of major accidents from the intermediate temporary storage of dangerous substances in marshalling yards and port areas [J].

Christou, MD .

JOURNAL OF LOSS PREVENTION IN THE PROCESS INDUSTRIES, 1999, 12 (01) :109-119

[5]

DARBRA RM, 2002, 4 JORN FIAB CONF FUN

[6]

*DET NORSK VER, 2002, FREQ AN ACC OIL REL

[7]

*HLTH SAF I, 1978, CANV INV POT HAZ OP

[8]

*HLTH SAF I, 1981, CANV SEC REP REV POT

[9]

LEES FP, 1996, LOSS PREVENTION PROC, V3

[10]

*MHIDAS, 2003, MAJ HAZ INC DAT SERV

← 1 2 →