Prioritizing climate change mitigation: An assessment using Malaysia to reduce carbon emissions in future

被引:31
作者
Al-Amin, Abul Quasem [1 ]
Rasiah, Rajah [2 ]
Chenayah, Santha [3 ]
机构
[1] Univ Teknol Malaysia, Int Business Sch, Kuala Lumpur 54100, Malaysia
[2] Univ Malaya, Dept Dev Studies, Kuala Lumpur 50603, Malaysia
[3] Univ Malaya, Dept Econ, Kuala Lumpur 50603, Malaysia
关键词
Climate change; Carbon emission projections; Mitigation policy; ECONOMICS; UNCERTAINTY; POLICY;
D O I
10.1016/j.envsci.2015.02.002
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
This study examines empirically climate change related vulnerability impacts, and remedial options as an optimal and applicable strategy by prioritizing needs in climate change mitigation over 95 years. An Empirical Downscaling Dynamic Integrated model of Climate and the Economy (EDDICE) is deployed using an optimal scenario for Malaysia against a baseline scenario of existing conditions following the top-down disaggregation strategy recommended by other studies. The model takes account of various climatic variables, including, temperature, carbon cycle, carbon emission, climatic damage, carbon control, and carbon concentration, which was adapted from observational records of climatic changes caused by global warming from 2010 to 2105. The results are interesting in prioritizing climate change mitigation for the future. Whereas the cumulative cost of climatic damage over the period 2010-2105 will amount to MYR40,128.1 billion under the present climatic regime in Malaysia, it will fall to MYR5263.7 billion under the optimal regime. In addition, the government would have collected revenue from carbon taxes amounting to MYR9535.4 billion over the 95 years. (C) 2015 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:24 / 33
页数:10
相关论文
共 37 条
[31]  
Popper K R., 1961, The open society and its enemies, P369
[32]   The economics of mitigating climate change: What can we know? [J].
Rosen, Richard A. ;
Guenther, Edeltraud .
TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING AND SOCIAL CHANGE, 2015, 91 :93-106
[33]   Uncertainty in economic models of climate-change impacts [J].
Schimmelpfennig, D .
CLIMATIC CHANGE, 1996, 33 (02) :213-234
[34]  
Stern N., 2007, The Economics of Climate Change: The Stern Review
[35]   Is the uncertainty about climate change too large for expected cost-benefit analysis? [J].
Tol, RSJ .
CLIMATIC CHANGE, 2003, 56 (03) :265-289
[36]   Environmental innovation and societal transitions: Introduction and overview [J].
van den Bergh, Jeroen C. J. M. ;
Truffer, Bernhard ;
Kallis, Giorgos .
ENVIRONMENTAL INNOVATION AND SOCIETAL TRANSITIONS, 2011, 1 (01) :1-23
[37]  
Weitzman ML, 2007, J ECON LIT, V45, P703, DOI 10.1257/jel.45.3.703