Boarding Time Estimation Using the Passenger Density Distribution on the Bus

被引:3
|
作者
Wang, Tao [1 ]
Xu, Keyu [1 ]
Tian, Junfang [2 ]
Zhang, Jing [1 ]
Gao, Ziyou [3 ]
Li, Shubin [4 ]
机构
[1] Qingdao Univ Sci & Technol, Dept Automat & Elect Engn, Sch Math & Phys, Qingdao 266061, Peoples R China
[2] Tianjin Univ, Coll Management & Econ, Inst Syst Engn, Tianjin 300072, Peoples R China
[3] Beijing Jiaotong Univ, Key Lab Transport Ind Big Data Applicat Technol C, Minist Transport, Beijing 100044, Peoples R China
[4] Shandong Police Coll, Dept Traff Management Engn, Jinan 250014, Peoples R China
基金
中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词
Predictive models; Schedules; Uncertainty; Numerical models; Delays; Data models; Business process re-engineering; Service time; passenger density distribution; average boarding time; BPR function; cellular automata; potential field; LOST SERVING STOP; DWELL TIME; MODELS; SIMULATION; SYSTEMS;
D O I
10.1109/TITS.2021.3124296
中图分类号
TU [建筑科学];
学科分类号
0813 ;
摘要
Accurate predictions of bus service time are a prerequisite to improve the efficiency of bus transit. Field observations identified the degree of passenger crowding on the bus as one of the primary causes for the unpredictability of passengers' average boarding time (ABT). Consequently, the internal areas of buses were divided for the first time to assess the impact of the passenger density distribution (PDD) on the ABT, using field data. An effective BPR function was proposed that accurately predicts the passengers' ABT. Then, to show the influence of passenger movement preference and density distribution on ABT, a new floor field model was developed. Calibration and validation results indicate that the model can reproduce the dynamic moving process of passengers' distribution on the bus and clarify the influence of PDD on ABT. Finally, three bus design strategies are proposed to enhance boarding efficiency, and the simulation results show that the optimal strategy improves passenger ABT and improve the operational performance of bus transit. These findings provide theoretical support for bus design as well as for bus operation.
引用
收藏
页码:13429 / 13442
页数:14
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