Agent-Based Computational Epidemiological Modeling

被引:19
作者
Bissett, Keith R.
Cadena, Jose [1 ]
Khan, Maleq [2 ]
Kuhlman, Chris J. [3 ]
机构
[1] Lawrence Livermore Natl Lab, Livermore, CA 94550 USA
[2] Texas A&M Univ, Kingsville, TX USA
[3] Univ Virginia, Charlottesville, VA 22904 USA
关键词
Computational epidemiology; Discrete dynamical systems; Synthetic populations; Data-driven social network generation; Large-scale stylized network construction; Agent-based simulation; High performance computing; SEQUENTIAL DYNAMICAL-SYSTEMS; REACHABILITY PROBLEMS; COMPLEX CONTAGIONS; INFECTIOUS-DISEASE; CONTINGENCY-TABLES; INFLUENZA; NETWORKS; GENERATION; IMPACT; BIFURCATIONS;
D O I
10.1007/s41745-021-00260-2
中图分类号
O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
The study of epidemics is useful for not only understanding outbreaks and trying to limit their adverse effects, but also because epidemics are related to social phenomena such as government instability, crime, poverty, and inequality. One approach for studying epidemics is to simulate their spread through populations. In this work, we describe an integrated multi-dimensional approach to epidemic simulation, which encompasses: (1) a theoretical framework for simulation and analysis; (2) synthetic population (digital twin) generation; (3) (social contact) network construction methods from synthetic populations, (4) stylized network construction methods; and (5) simulation of the evolution of a virus or disease through a social network. We describe these aspects and end with a short discussion on simulation results that inform public policy.
引用
收藏
页码:303 / 327
页数:25
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