Advanced Methods for Photovoltaic Output Power Forecasting: A Review

被引:187
作者
Mellit, Adel [1 ]
Pavan, Alessandro Massi [2 ]
Ogliari, Emanuele [3 ]
Leva, Sonia [3 ]
Lughi, Vanni [2 ]
机构
[1] Univ Jijel, RELab, Jijel 18000, Algeria
[2] Univ Trieste, Dipartimento Ingn & Architettura, I-34127 Trieste, Italy
[3] Politecn Milan, Dept Energy, I-20156 Milan, Italy
来源
APPLIED SCIENCES-BASEL | 2020年 / 10卷 / 02期
关键词
photovoltaic plant; power forecasting; artificial intelligence techniques; machine learning; deep learning; NUMERICAL WEATHER PREDICTION; ARTIFICIAL NEURAL-NETWORK; TERM; SOLAR; MODELS; GENERATION; INTELLIGENCE; REGRESSION; ENSEMBLE;
D O I
10.3390/app10020487
中图分类号
O6 [化学];
学科分类号
0703 ;
摘要
Forecasting is a crucial task for successfully integrating photovoltaic (PV) output power into the grid. The design of accurate photovoltaic output forecasters remains a challenging issue, particularly for multistep-ahead prediction. Accurate PV output power forecasting is critical in a number of applications, such as micro-grids (MGs), energy optimization and management, PV integrated in smart buildings, and electrical vehicle chartering. Over the last decade, a vast literature has been produced on this topic, investigating numerical and probabilistic methods, physical models, and artificial intelligence (AI) techniques. This paper aims at providing a complete and critical review on the recent applications of AI techniques; we will focus particularly on machine learning (ML), deep learning (DL), and hybrid methods, as these branches of AI are becoming increasingly attractive. Special attention will be paid to the recent development of the application of DL, as well as to the future trends in this topic.
引用
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页数:22
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