FAILURE OF SMOOTH PASTING PRINCIPLE AND NONEXISTENCE OF EQUILIBRIUM STOPPING RULES UNDER TIME-INCONSISTENCY\ast

被引:14
作者
Tan, Ken Seng [1 ]
Wei, Wei [2 ]
Zhou, Xun Yu [3 ]
机构
[1] Nanyang Technol Univ, Nanyang Business Sch, Div Banking & Finance, Singapore 639798, Singapore
[2] Heriot Watt Univ, Dept Actuarial Math & Stat, Edinburgh EH14 4AS, Midlothian, Scotland
[3] Columbia Univ, Dept IEOR, New York, NY 10027 USA
关键词
Key words; optimal stopping; weighted discount function; time-inconsistency; equilibrium stopping; intrapersonal game; smooth pasting; real options; CONSUMPTION; INVESTMENT;
D O I
10.1137/19M1291339
中图分类号
TP [自动化技术、计算机技术];
学科分类号
0812 ;
摘要
This paper considers time-inconsistent stopping problems in which the inconsistency arises from a class of nonexponential discount functions called weighted discount functions. We show that the smooth pasting (SP) principle, the main approach that is used to construct explicit solutions for classical time-consistent optimal stopping problems, may fail under time-inconsistency. Specifically, a mere change of the discount function from exponential to nonexponential (everything else being the same) will cause the SP approach to fail. In general, we prove that SP solves a timeinconsistent problem, within the intrapersonal game theoretic framework with a general nonlinear cost functional and a geometric Brownian motion, if and only if certain inequalities on the model primitives are satisfied. In the special case of a real options problem, we show that while these inequalities hold trivially for the exponential discount function, they may not hold even for very simple nonexponential discount functions. Moreover, we show that the real options problem actually does not admit any equilibrium whenever the SP approach fails. The negative results in this paper caution one from blindly extending the classical approach for time-consistent stopping problems to their time-inconsistent counterparts.
引用
收藏
页码:4136 / 4154
页数:19
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