A Test for Bias of Inherent Characteristics in Betting Markets

被引:10
作者
Dare, William H. [2 ]
Dennis, Steven A. [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ N Dakota, Grand Forks, ND 58202 USA
[2] Oklahoma State Univ, Dept Finance, Stillwater, OK 74078 USA
关键词
betting; market; NFL; efficiency; bias; home; underdog; EFFICIENCY;
D O I
10.1177/1527002510395864
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
The authors develop a model to investigate potential biases of inherent characteristics in betting markets. The test requires only that there be both a sides ("spread") market and a totals ("over/under") market for the game. The authors utilize the model to test for the well-documented "home-underdog" bias in the National Football League (NFL). They show that the bias specifically favors the offense (or defense) of home underdogs (away-favorites), with no bias against the offense (defense) of away favorites (home-underdogs).
引用
收藏
页码:660 / 665
页数:6
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