Health Benefits and Costs of Clean Heating Renovation: An Integrated Assessment in a Major Chinese City

被引:32
作者
Zhao, Bin [1 ,2 ]
Zhao, Jing [3 ,4 ]
Zha, Hao [3 ,5 ]
Hu, Ruolan [1 ,2 ]
Liu, Yalu [1 ,2 ]
Liang, Chengrui [1 ,2 ]
Shi, Hongrong [6 ]
Chen, Simiao [7 ,8 ]
Guo, Yue [9 ]
Zhang, Da [12 ,13 ]
Aunan, Kristin [10 ]
Zhang, Shaojun [1 ,2 ,11 ]
Zhang, Xiliang [12 ]
Xue, Lan [3 ,4 ]
Wang, Shuxiao [1 ,2 ,11 ]
机构
[1] Tsinghua Univ, Sch Environm, Beijing 100084, Peoples R China
[2] Tsinghua Univ, State Key Joint Lab Environm Simulat & Pollut Con, Beijing 100084, Peoples R China
[3] Tsinghua Univ, Sch Publ Policy & Management, Beijing 100084, Peoples R China
[4] Tsinghua Univ, Ctr Ind Dev & Environm Governance, Beijing 100084, Peoples R China
[5] Tsinghua Univ, Inst Sustainable Dev Goals, Beijing 100084, Peoples R China
[6] Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Atmospher Phys, Key Lab Middle Atmosphere & Global Environm Obser, Beijing 100029, Peoples R China
[7] Heidelberg Univ, Fac Med, Heidelberg Inst Global Hlth, D-69117 Heidelberg, Germany
[8] Heidelberg Univ, Univ Hosp, D-69117 Heidelberg, Germany
[9] Beijing Normal Univ, Sch Govt, Beijing 100084, Peoples R China
[10] CICERO Ctr Int Climate Res, N-0318 Oslo, Norway
[11] State Environm Protect Key Lab Sources & Control, Beijing 100084, Peoples R China
[12] Tsinghua Univ, Inst Energy Environm & Econ, Beijing 100084, Peoples R China
[13] MIT Joint Program Sci & Policy Global Change, Cambridge, MA 02139 USA
基金
国家重点研发计划; 中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词
clean heating renovation; cost-benefit analysis; household air pollution; PM2.5; household energy survey; PARTICULATE MATTER POLLUTION; AIR-POLLUTION; RURAL CHINA; FUEL USE; EXPOSURE; DISEASE; BURDEN; IMPACT; PM2.5; COAL;
D O I
10.1021/acs.est.1c00930
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
China has been promoting one of the world's largest campaigns for clean heating renovation since 2017. Here, we present an integrated cost-benefit analysis in a major prefecture-level city by combining a large-scale household energy survey and PM2.5 exposure measurement, high-resolution chemical transport simulation, and health impact assessment. We find that the completed renovation decreases the share of solid fuels in the heating energy mix from 96 to 6% and achieves a concomitant reduction of cooking solid-fuel use by 70%. The completed renovation decreases the ambient PM2.5 concentration in Linfen by 0.5-5 mu g m(-3) (2.4 mu g m(-3) on average) and decreases the integrated PM2.5 exposure by 4.2 (3.5-5.0) mu g m(-3). The renovation is estimated to avoid 162 (125-225) and 328 (254-457) premature deaths annually based on two health impact assessment methods. The ratios of monetized health benefits to cost are 1.51 (0.73-2.59) and 3.06 (1.49-5.23) based on the above two methods. The benefit-to-cost ratio is projected to remain high if the renovation is further expanded. More polluted and less wealthy households enjoy larger health benefits but also experience a higher expense increase, suggesting that a more carefully designed subsidy policy is needed to protect low-income households.
引用
收藏
页码:10046 / 10055
页数:10
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