A Bayesian approach to interpreting footwear marks in forensic casework

被引：41

作者：

Evett, IW

Lambert, JA

Buckleton, JS

机构：

[1] Metropolitan Lab, Forens Sci Serv, London SE1 7LP, England

[2] Birmingham Lab, Forens Sci Serv, Birmingham B5 6QQ, W Midlands, England

[3] ESR, Mt Albert Sci Ctr, Auckland, New Zealand

来源：

SCIENCE & JUSTICE | 1998年 / 38卷 / 04期

关键词：

forensic science; footwear; forensic identification; Bayesian inference; likelihood ratio; probability; statistics;

D O I：

10.1016/S1355-0306(98)72118-5

中图分类号：

DF [法律]; D9 [法律]; R [医药、卫生];

学科分类号：

0301 ; 10 ;

摘要：

This paper describes an attempt to formalise the interpretation of footwear marks. First, the definitions of identification and individualisation which were given by Kirk are discussed and formalised, then a Bayesian analysis is presented in which the assumptions made are clarified. The analysis is broken down into components which reflect different interpretative issues. Application of a formal expression for the likelihood ratio is then illustrated by means of examples from casework in New Zealand and the United Kingdom.

引用

页码：241 / 247

页数：7

共 9 条

[1]

Balding DJ, 1996, J FORENSIC SCI, V41, P603

[2]

Bodziak W., 1990, FOOTWEAR IMPRESSION

[3]

Dawid AP, 1997, J FORENSIC SCI, V42, P226

[4] ESTABLISHING THE EVIDENTIAL VALUE OF A SMALL QUANTITY OF MATERIAL FOUND AT A CRIME SCENE [J].

EVETT, IW .

JOURNAL OF THE FORENSIC SCIENCE SOCIETY, 1993, 33 (02) :83-86

[5] ON MEANINGFUL QUESTIONS - A 2-TRACE TRANSFER PROBLEM [J].

EVETT, IW .

JOURNAL OF THE FORENSIC SCIENCE SOCIETY, 1987, 27 (06) :375-381

[6] THE ONTOGENY OF CRIMINALISTICS [J].

KIRK, PL .

JOURNAL OF CRIMINAL LAW & CRIMINOLOGY, 1963, 54 (02) :235-238

[7]

*NAT RES COUNC, 1992, EV FOR DNA EV

[8] WHAT MADE US EVER THINK WE COULD INDIVIDUALIZE USING STATISTICS [J].

STONEY, DA .

JOURNAL OF THE FORENSIC SCIENCE SOCIETY, 1991, 31 (02) :197-199

[9]

Tuthill H, 1994, INDIVIDUALIZATION PR

← 1 →