Using the methods of successive analysis forecasting abrupt changes in random time series

被引:0
作者
Grebenyuk, EA [1 ]
Kuznetsov, IV
机构
[1] Russian Acad Sci, Inst Control Sci, Moscow, Russia
[2] Int Inst Theory Earthquake Forecasts & Math Geoph, Moscow, Russia
关键词
D O I
暂无
中图分类号
TP [自动化技术、计算机技术];
学科分类号
0812 ;
摘要
Consideration is given to using the methods of successive analysis for forecasting abrupt changes in random processes. A forecasting algorithm has been developed based on an algorithm of the cumulative-sum type Sor successive detection of changes in the characteristics of random processes. Informational criterion-based adjustment is Me main distinction of this algorithm from the existing ones. The paper describes the algorithm and presents the results of its verification using an actual sample.
引用
收藏
页码:1752 / 1760
页数:9
相关论文
共 50 条
[31]   Review of Time Series Traffic Forecasting Methods [J].
Wang, Linkai ;
Chen, Jing ;
Wang, Wei ;
Song, Ruizhuo .
2022 4TH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON CONTROL AND ROBOTICS, ICCR, 2022, :419-423
[32]   Time series forecasting methods in emergency contexts [J].
Hernandez, P. Villoria ;
Marinas-Collado, I. ;
Sipols, A. Garcia ;
de Blas, C. Simon ;
Sanchez, M. C. Rodriguez .
SCIENTIFIC REPORTS, 2023, 13 (01)
[33]   Kernel methods applied to time series forecasting [J].
Rubio, Gines ;
Pomares, Hetor ;
Herrera, Luis J. ;
Rojas, Ignacio .
COMPUTATIONAL AND AMBIENT INTELLIGENCE, 2007, 4507 :782-+
[34]   Winning methods for forecasting tourism time series [J].
Baker, Lee C. ;
Howard, Jeremy .
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF FORECASTING, 2011, 27 (03) :850-852
[35]   Time series forecasting methods in emergency contexts [J].
P. Villoria Hernandez ;
I. Mariñas-Collado ;
A. Garcia Sipols ;
C. Simon de Blas ;
M. C. Rodriguez Sánchez .
Scientific Reports, 13
[36]   On projection methods for functional time series forecasting [J].
Elias, Antonio ;
Jimenez, Raul ;
Shang, Han Lin .
JOURNAL OF MULTIVARIATE ANALYSIS, 2022, 189
[37]   TIME SERIES NEURAL NETWORK FORECASTING METHODS [J].
文新辉 ;
陈开周 .
Journal of Electronics(China), 1995, (01) :1-8
[38]   Time Series Neural Network Forecasting Methods [J].
WEN Xinhui ;
CHEN KeizhouThe Centlal of Neural NetwolkXidian UniversityXian China .
Journal of Systems Science and Systems Engineering, 1996, (01) :24-32
[39]   Detecting abrupt changes in a piecewise locally stationary time series [J].
Last, Michael ;
Shumway, Robert .
JOURNAL OF MULTIVARIATE ANALYSIS, 2008, 99 (02) :191-214