System reliability analysis with saddlepoint approximation

被引:82
作者
Du, Xiaoping [1 ]
机构
[1] Missouri Univ Sci & Technol, Dept Mech & Aerosp Engn, Rolla, MO 65409 USA
关键词
Reliability; Saddlepoint approximation; System; BOUNDS;
D O I
10.1007/s00158-009-0478-x
中图分类号
TP39 [计算机的应用];
学科分类号
081203 ; 0835 ;
摘要
System reliability is usually estimated through component reliability, which is commonly computed by the First Order Reliability Method (FORM). The FORM is computationally efficient, but may not be accurate for nonlinear limit-state functions. An alternative system reliability analysis method is proposed based on saddlepoint approximation. Unlike the FORM that linearizes limit-state functions in a transformed random space, the proposed method linearizes the limited-state functions without any transformation. After the linearization, the joint probability density of limit-state functions is estimated by the multivariate saddlepoint approximation. Without the nonnormal-to-normal transformation, the present method is more accurate than the FORM when the transformation increases the nonlinearity of limit-state functions. As demonstrated in the two examples, the new method is also as efficient as the FORM.
引用
收藏
页码:193 / 208
页数:16
相关论文
共 27 条
[11]  
Huang B., 2006, International Journal of Reliability and Safety, V1, P206, DOI 10.1504/IJRS.2006.010698
[12]   Probabilistic uncertainty analysis by mean-value first order Saddlepoint Approximation [J].
Huang, Beiqing ;
Du, Xiaoping .
RELIABILITY ENGINEERING & SYSTEM SAFETY, 2008, 93 (02) :325-336
[13]   Practical saddlepoint approximations [J].
Huzurbazar, S .
AMERICAN STATISTICIAN, 1999, 53 (03) :225-232
[14]  
Jensen J. L., 1995, SADDLEPOINT APPROXIM
[15]   Multivariate saddlepoint tail probability approximations [J].
Kolassa, JE .
ANNALS OF STATISTICS, 2003, 31 (01) :274-286
[16]  
Laumakis P., 2002, Int J Math Educ Sci Technol, V33, P377, DOI [10.1080/00207390210125729, DOI 10.1080/00207390210125729]
[17]  
LIANG J, 2009, J MECH DESIGN, V129, P1215
[18]   SADDLE-POINT APPROXIMATION FOR THE DISTRIBUTION OF THE SUM OF INDEPENDENT RANDOM-VARIABLES [J].
LUGANNANI, R ;
RICE, S .
ADVANCES IN APPLIED PROBABILITY, 1980, 12 (02) :475-490
[19]   Saddlepoint approximations for noncentral quadratic forms [J].
Marsh, PWN .
ECONOMETRIC THEORY, 1998, 14 (05) :539-559
[20]  
Paolella M. S., 2007, Intermediate Probability: A Computational Approach