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Two approaches to consistent estimation of parameters of mixed fractional Brownian motion with trend
被引:6
作者:
Kukush, Alexander
[1
]
Lohvinenko, Stanislav
[2
]
Mishura, Yuliya
[2
]
Ralchenko, Kostiantyn
[2
]
机构:
[1] Taras Shevchenko Natl Univ Kyiv, Dept Math Anal, 64-13,Volodymyrska St, UA-01601 Kiev, Ukraine
[2] Taras Shevchenko Natl Univ Kyiv, Dept Probabil Stat & Actuarial Math, 64-13,Volodymyrska St, UA-01601 Kiev, Ukraine
关键词:
Fractional Brownian motion;
Wiener process;
Mixed power variations;
Strong consistency;
Mixed model;
Ergodic theorem;
EQUITY WARRANTS;
PRICING MODEL;
D O I:
10.1007/s11203-021-09252-6
中图分类号:
O21 [概率论与数理统计];
C8 [统计学];
学科分类号:
020208 ;
070103 ;
0714 ;
摘要:
We investigate the mixed fractional Brownian motion with trend of the form X-t = theta t + sigma W-t + kappa B-t(H), driven by a standard Brownian motion W and a fractional Brownian motion B-H with Hurst parameter H. We develop and compare two approaches to estimation of four unknown parameters theta, sigma, kappa and H by discrete observations. The first algorithm is more traditional: we estimate sigma, kappa and H using the quadratic variations, while the estimator of theta is obtained as a discretization of a continuous-time estimator of maximum likelihood type. This approach has several limitations, in particular, it assumes that H < 3/4, moreover, some estimators have too low rate of convergence. Therefore, we propose a new method for simultaneous estimation of all four parameters, which is based on the ergodic theorem. Finally, we compare two approaches by Monte Carlo simulations.
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页码:159 / 187
页数:29
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