Two approaches to consistent estimation of parameters of mixed fractional Brownian motion with trend

被引:6
|
作者
Kukush, Alexander [1 ]
Lohvinenko, Stanislav [2 ]
Mishura, Yuliya [2 ]
Ralchenko, Kostiantyn [2 ]
机构
[1] Taras Shevchenko Natl Univ Kyiv, Dept Math Anal, 64-13,Volodymyrska St, UA-01601 Kiev, Ukraine
[2] Taras Shevchenko Natl Univ Kyiv, Dept Probabil Stat & Actuarial Math, 64-13,Volodymyrska St, UA-01601 Kiev, Ukraine
关键词
Fractional Brownian motion; Wiener process; Mixed power variations; Strong consistency; Mixed model; Ergodic theorem; EQUITY WARRANTS; PRICING MODEL;
D O I
10.1007/s11203-021-09252-6
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
We investigate the mixed fractional Brownian motion with trend of the form X-t = theta t + sigma W-t + kappa B-t(H), driven by a standard Brownian motion W and a fractional Brownian motion B-H with Hurst parameter H. We develop and compare two approaches to estimation of four unknown parameters theta, sigma, kappa and H by discrete observations. The first algorithm is more traditional: we estimate sigma, kappa and H using the quadratic variations, while the estimator of theta is obtained as a discretization of a continuous-time estimator of maximum likelihood type. This approach has several limitations, in particular, it assumes that H < 3/4, moreover, some estimators have too low rate of convergence. Therefore, we propose a new method for simultaneous estimation of all four parameters, which is based on the ergodic theorem. Finally, we compare two approaches by Monte Carlo simulations.
引用
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页码:159 / 187
页数:29
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