The health impacts and economic value of wildland fire episodes in the US: 2008-2012

被引:181
作者
Fann, Neal [1 ]
Alman, Breanna [1 ]
Broome, Richard A. [2 ]
Morgan, Geoffrey G. [3 ]
Johnston, Fay H. [4 ]
Pouliot, George [5 ]
Rappold, Ana G. [5 ]
机构
[1] US EPA, Off Air Qual Planning & Stand, 109 TW Alexander Dr, Res Triangle Pk, NC 27711 USA
[2] Sydney South West Area Hlth Serv, Sydney, NSW, Australia
[3] Univ Sydney, Univ Ctr Rural Hlth, Sydney, NSW, Australia
[4] Univ Tasmania, Menzies Inst Med Res, Hobart, Tas, Australia
[5] US EPA, Off Res & Dev, Res Triangle Pk, NC 27711 USA
关键词
Health impact assessment; Source apportionment; PM2.5; Ozone; CMAQ; Wildland fires; Wildfires; PARTICULATE AIR-POLLUTION; HOSPITAL ADMISSIONS; SMOKE EXPOSURE; WILDFIRE SMOKE; WESTERN US; ASSOCIATION; MORTALITY; COMPONENTS; OUTCOMES; VISITS;
D O I
10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.08.024
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
Introduction: Wildland fires degrade air quality and adversely affect human health. A growing body of epidemiology literature reports increased rates of emergency departments, hospital admissions and premature deaths from wildfire smoke exposure. Objective: Our research aimed to characterize excess mortality and morbidity events, and the economic value of these impacts, from wildland fire smoke exposure in the U.S. over a multi-year period; to date no other burden assessment has done this. Methods: We first completed a systematic review of the epidemiologic literature and then performed photochemical air quality modeling for the years 2008 to 2012 in the continental U.S. Finally, we estimated the morbidity, mortality, and economic burden of wildland fires. Results: Our models suggest that areas including northern California, Oregon and Idaho in the West, and Florida, Louisiana and Georgia in the East were most affected by wildland fire events in the form of additional premature deaths and respiratory hospital admissions. We estimated the economic value of these cases due to short term exposures as being between $11 and $20B (2010$) per year, with a net present value of $63B (95% confidence intervals $6-$ 170); we estimate the value of long-term exposures as being between $76 and $130B (2010$) per year, with a net present value of $450B (95% confidence intervals $42-$ 1200). Conclusion: The public health burden of wildland fires-in terms of the number and economic value of deaths and illnesses-is considerable. Published by Elsevier B.V.
引用
收藏
页码:802 / 809
页数:8
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