Can we use human judgments to determine the discount rate?

被引：19

作者：

Baron, J ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Univ Penn, Dept Psychol, Philadelphia, PA 19104 USA

来源：

RISK ANALYSIS | 2000年 / 20卷 / 06期

关键词：

discounting; judgments; biases; dynamic inconsistency;

D O I：

10.1111/0272-4332.206079

中图分类号：

R1 [预防医学、卫生学];

学科分类号：

1004 ; 120402 ;

摘要：

It has been suggested that the long-term discount rate for environmental goods should decrease at longer delays. One justification for this suggestion is that human judgments support it. This article presents an experiment showing that judgments concerning discount rates are internally inconsistent. These results point to potential problems with the use of judgments referenda for determining discount rates in cost-benefit analyses.

引用

页码：861 / 868

页数：8

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