A comprehensive approach to scenario-based risk management for Arctic waters

被引：10

作者：

Bergstrom, Martin ^{[1
]}

Browne, Thomas ^{[2
,3
]}

Ehlers, Soren ^{[4
]}

Helle, Inari ^{[5
]}

Herrnring, Hauke ^{[4
]}

Khan, Faisal ^{[2
]}

Kubiczek, Jan ^{[4
]}

Kujala, Pentti ^{[1
]}

Korgesaar, Mihkel ^{[6
]}

Leira, Bernt Johan ^{[7
]}

Parviainen, Tuuli ^{[5
]}

Polojarvi, Arttu ^{[1
]}

Suominen, Mikko ^{[1
]}

Taylor, Rocky ^{[2
]}

Tuhkuri, Jukka ^{[1
]}

Vanhatalo, Jarno ^{[5
,8
]}

Veitch, Brian ^{[2
]}

机构：

[1] Aalto Univ, Dept Mech Engn, FI-00076 Espoo, Finland

[2] Mem Univ Newfoundland, Fac Engn & Appl Sci, St John, NL, Canada

[3] Natl Res Council Canada, Ocean Coastal & River Engn Res Ctr, St John, NL, Canada

[4] Hamburg Univ Technol, Inst Ship Struct Design & Anal, Hamburg, Germany

[5] Univ Helsinki, Fac Biol & Environm Sci, Helsinki, Finland

[6] Tallinn Univ Technol, Kuressaare Coll, Sch Engn, Kuressaare, Estonia

[7] Norwegian Univ Sci & Technol, Dept Marine Technol, Trondheim, Norway

[8] Univ Helsinki, Fac Sci, Helsinki, Finland

来源：

SHIP TECHNOLOGY RESEARCH | 2022年 / 69卷 / 03期

关键词：

Shipping; ship; Arctic; Polar Code; maritime safety; risk management; environmental protection; ice; IMPACT SHIPPING CORRIDORS; GLACIAL ICE IMPACTS; OIL-SPILLS; NUMERICAL-MODEL; CLIMATE-CHANGE; LOAD; VULNERABILITY; SIMULATION; THICKNESS; DESIGN;

D O I：

10.1080/09377255.2022.2049967

中图分类号：

U6 [水路运输]; P75 [海洋工程];

学科分类号：

0814 ; 081505 ; 0824 ; 082401 ;

摘要：

While society benefits from Arctic shipping, it is necessary to recognize that ship operations in Arctic waters pose significant risks to people, the environment, and property. To support the management of those risks, this article presents a comprehensive approach addressing both short-term operational risks, as well as risks related to long-term extreme ice loads. For the management of short-term operational risks, an extended version of the Polar Operational Limit Assessment Risk Indexing System (POLARIS) considering the magnitude of the consequences of potential adverse events is proposed. For the management of risks related to long-term extreme ice loads, guidelines are provided for using existing analytical, numerical, and semi-empirical methods. In addition, to support the design of ice class ship structures, the article proposes a novel approach that can be used in the conceptual design phase for the determination of preliminary scantlings for primary hull structural members.

引用

页码：129 / 157

页数：29

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