Complex network approach for the structural optimization of global crude oil trade system

被引:47
作者
Dong, Gaogao [1 ]
Qing, Ting [1 ]
Du, Ruijin [1 ]
Wang, Chao [2 ,3 ,4 ]
Li, Ruiqi [5 ]
Wang, Minggang [6 ,7 ]
Tian, Lixin [1 ,6 ]
Chen, Lin [3 ,4 ,8 ]
Vilela, Andre L. M. [3 ,4 ,9 ]
Stanley, H. Eugene [3 ,4 ]
机构
[1] Jiangsu Univ, Ctr Energy Dev & Environm Protect, Zhenjiang 212013, Jiangsu, Peoples R China
[2] Beijing Univ Technol, Coll Econ & Management, Res Base Beijing Modern Mfg Dev, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
[3] Boston Univ, Ctr Polymer Studies, Boston, MA 02215 USA
[4] Boston Univ, Dept Phys, Boston, MA 02215 USA
[5] Beijing Univ Chem Technol, Coll Informat Sci & Technol, Beijing 100875, Peoples R China
[6] Nanjing Normal Univ, Sch Math Sci, Nanjing 210042, Jiangsu, Peoples R China
[7] Nanjing Normal Univ, Dept Math, Taizhou Coll, Taizhou 225300, Jiangsu, Peoples R China
[8] Northwestern Polytech Univ, Sch Management, Xian 710072, Shaanxi, Peoples R China
[9] Univ Pernambuco, Fis Mat, BR-50100010 Recife, PE, Brazil
基金
中国博士后科学基金; 中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词
Global crude oil trade; Optimization; Complex network; Supply and demand structure; COUNTRIES; EVOLUTION; ALGORITHM; PATTERNS;
D O I
10.1016/j.jclepro.2019.119366
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
It is essential to reveal the optimal structure of global crude oil supply and demand, which has become one of the most important factors affecting every country's energy strategy and economic development. However, the existing crude oil supply and demand structure does not function well. This paper proposes a distributed bipartite network to model crude oil trade. The optimal network structure, which has the minimal total trade cost is obtained by Simulated Annealing Algorithm. The presented optimization model encompasses the framework of complex network theory and crude oil trading issues, providing a good solution for the crude oil trade system. Comparing with the pre-optimized trading network, the proposed model can effectively reduce trade cost. The Robustness Indicator is proposed to reveal that the major oil-exporting countries choose their partners more wisely and the trade relations are steadier. In the optimal distributed network, both the major oil-exporting countries and major oil-importing countries play important roles in distributing crude oil among the trading countries. Overall, the proposed model offers fresh insights for structural reconstruction of crude oil supply and demand network centered on the efficient usage of crude oil and keeping the international oil trade running smoothly. (C) 2019 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页数:12
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