Predictive Factors of Perioperative Stroke-Related Mortality Following Vascular Surgery: A Retrospective Analysis

Objective: Vascular surgical procedures have one of the highest risks of perioperative stroke and stroke-related mortality, yet the independent risk factors contributing to this increased mortality have not been described. Perioperative strokes are thought to result from a combination of embolism and hypoperfusion mechanisms. The purpose of this study is to describe the independent predictors of perioperative stroke-related mortality in the vascular surgical population using the Pennsylvania Health Care Cost Containment Council (PHC4) database which collects cause of death data. Methods: This retrospective, case-control study evaluated 4,128 patients aged 18-99 who underwent a vascular, non-carotid surgical procedure and subsequently suffered perioperative mortality. Common surgical comorbidities and risk factors for perioperative stroke, including carotid stenosis and atrial fibrillation, were evaluated in multivariate regression analysis. Results: Patients with carotid stenosis were 2.6 (aOR, 95% CI 1.4-4.5) times more likely to suffer perioperative mortality from stroke than from other causes. Additionally, in-hospital stroke, history of stroke, admission from a healthcare facility, and cancer were all positive predictive factors, whereas atrial fibrillation, emergency admission, hypertension, and diabetes were associated with decreased risk of perioperative stroke-related mortality. Conclusions: Identification of vascular surgical population-specific predictors of stroke-related mortality can help to enhance preoperative risk-stratification tools and guide perioperative management of identified high-risk patients. Increased neurophysiologic monitoring in the perioperative period to prevent delays in diagnosis of perioperative stroke offers a strategy to reduce risk of perioperative stroke-related mortality in vascular surgical patients.