Improved visualization for trend analysis by comparing with classical Mann-Kendall test and ITA

被引:146
作者
Guclu, Yavuz Selim [1 ]
机构
[1] Istanbul Medeniyet Univ, Engn & Nat Sci Fac, Civil Engn Dept, Istanbul, Turkey
关键词
Mann-Kendall trend test; Pettitt change point test; Rainfall; Sen's innovative method (ITA); Time series; Trend analysis; IDENTIFICATION; TEMPERATURE; FLOW;
D O I
10.1016/j.jhydrol.2020.124674
中图分类号
TU [建筑科学];
学科分类号
0813 ;
摘要
This study compares classical Mann-Kendall (MK) test and simple Sen-innovative trend analysis (ITA) method by proposing a new trend analysis methodology with a special graphical representation. Another attempt is to classify sub-categories as "low" and "high" objectively by means of the Pettit change point test. The applications are based on 50-year rainfall records at various meteorology stations in Turkey. The proposed methodology provides different trend conditions than classical MK trend test and ITA approach on the Mediterranean, Black Sea, and continental climate regions of Turkey. Mediterranean climate reflects completely increasing trend especially on "high" values and the Black Sea region stations have non-monotonic decreasing trends at "low" and "high" values with increasing and decreasing trends, respectively on the proposed graphical representation. Continental climate region stations have monotonic increasing trend without sub-categorization, because of no change point via Pettit test on new visualization graphs.
引用
收藏
页数:9
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