A model-aided satellite-altimetry-based flood forecasting system for the Mekong River

被引:28
作者
Chang, Chi-Hung [1 ]
Lee, Hyongki [1 ]
Hossain, Faisal [2 ]
Basnayake, Senaka [3 ,4 ]
Jayasinghe, Susantha [3 ,4 ]
Chishtie, Farrukh [3 ,4 ]
Saah, David [5 ,6 ]
Yu, Hanwen [1 ]
Sothea, Khem [7 ]
Duong Du Bui [8 ]
机构
[1] Univ Houston, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, 5000 Gulf Fwy,Bldg 4,Rm 216, Houston, TX 77204 USA
[2] Univ Washington, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Wilcox Hall 167, Seattle, WA 98195 USA
[3] Asian Disaster Preparedness Ctr, SM Tower,24th Floor,979-69 Paholyothin Rd, Bangkok 10400, Thailand
[4] SERVIR Mekong, SM Tower,24th Floor,979-69 Paholyothin Rd, Bangkok 10400, Thailand
[5] Spatial Informat Grp, 2529 Yolanda Ct, Pleasanton, CA 94566 USA
[6] Univ San Francisco, Dept Environm Sci, Hamey Sci Ctr 440G,2130 Fulton St, San Francisco, CA 94117 USA
[7] Mekong River Commiss Secretariat, Reg Flood Management & Mitigat Ctr, POB 623,576 Natl Rd 2, Khan Menachey, Phnom Penh, Cambodia
[8] Natl Ctr Water Resources Planning & Invest, Water Resources Monitoring Dept, 93,Lane 95,Vu Xuan Thieu St, Hanoi, Vietnam
关键词
The Mekong River; Satellite altimetry; Hydrologic model; Water level forecasting; SEA-LEVEL; WATER; BASIN; DELTA;
D O I
10.1016/j.envsoft.2018.11.017
中图分类号
TP39 [计算机的应用];
学科分类号
081203 ; 0835 ;
摘要
A freely accessible model-aided satellite altimeter-based daily water level forecasting system using simple regression analysis is proposed for the Mekong River with feasibility study being performed. In the Mekong Delta (MD), where Regional Flood Management and Mitigation Center (RFMMC) does not provide forecasting, ocean tides strongly impact river levels and were specifically addressed by the sum of 5-term sinusoidal function. Forecasting skills of our system are quite promising in the MD, although RFMMC's forecasting system has better skills than ours in the Mekong mainstem upstream of MD. In contrast to current operational system, our system circumvents the need of frequent altimeter samplings in the upstream by using the Variable Infiltration Capacity (VIC) macroscale hydrologic model with 0.1 degrees resolution. The proposed forecasting system is computationally efficient without the need of complex hydrodynamic modeling, making such approach globally applicable for river basins and deltas with comparable forecasting skill and minimal computational cost.
引用
收藏
页码:112 / 127
页数:16
相关论文
共 45 条
[21]   A SIMPLE HYDROLOGICALLY BASED MODEL OF LAND-SURFACE WATER AND ENERGY FLUXES FOR GENERAL-CIRCULATION MODELS [J].
Liang, X ;
LETTENMAIER, DP ;
WOOD, EF ;
BURGES, SJ .
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 1994, 99 (D7) :14415-14428
[22]   A large-scale horizontal routing model to be coupled to land surface parametrization schemes [J].
Lohmann, D ;
NolteHolube, R ;
Raschke, E .
TELLUS SERIES A-DYNAMIC METEOROLOGY AND OCEANOGRAPHY, 1996, 48 (05) :708-721
[23]   Time series analysis with explanatory variables: A systematic literature review [J].
Macaira, Paula Medina ;
Tavares Thome, Antonio Marcio ;
Cyrino Oliveira, Fernando Luiz ;
Carvalho Ferrer, Ana Luiza .
ENVIRONMENTAL MODELLING & SOFTWARE, 2018, 107 :199-209
[24]   Multi-factor, multi-state, multi-model scenarios: Exploring food and climate futures for Southeast Asia [J].
Mason-D'Croz, Daniel ;
Vervoort, Joost ;
Palazzo, Amanda ;
Islam, Shahnila ;
Lord, Steven ;
Helfgott, Ariella ;
Havlik, Petr ;
Peou, Rathana ;
Sassen, Marieke ;
Veeger, Marieke ;
van Soesbergen, Arnout ;
Arnell, Andrew P. ;
Stuch, Benjamin ;
Arslan, Aslihan ;
Lipper, Leslie .
ENVIRONMENTAL MODELLING & SOFTWARE, 2016, 83 :255-270
[25]  
MONRE, 2010, CLIM CHANG MEK DELT
[26]   Model evaluation guidelines for systematic quantification of accuracy in watershed simulations [J].
Moriasi, D. N. ;
Arnold, J. G. ;
Van Liew, M. W. ;
Bingner, R. L. ;
Harmel, R. D. ;
Veith, T. L. .
TRANSACTIONS OF THE ASABE, 2007, 50 (03) :885-900
[27]  
MRC, 2010, 29 MRC
[28]  
Nash JE., 1970, J HYDROL, V10, P282, DOI DOI 10.1016/0022-1694(70)90255-6
[29]   Hydrological model using ground- and satellite-based data for river flow simulation towards supporting water resource management in the Red River Basin, Vietnam [J].
Nguyen Hoang Hiep ;
Nguyen Duc Luong ;
Tran Thi Viet Nga ;
Bui Thi Hieu ;
Ung Thi Thuy Ha ;
Bui Du Duong ;
Vu Duc Long ;
Hossain, Faisal ;
Lee, Hyongki .
JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT, 2018, 217 :346-355
[30]   Evaluation of Mekong River commission operational flood forecasts, 2000-2012 [J].
Pagano, T. C. .
HYDROLOGY AND EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCES, 2014, 18 (07) :2645-2656