Secular Stagnation: Determinants and Consequences for Australia

被引:3
|
作者
Taylor, Grace [1 ]
Tyers, Rod [1 ,2 ,3 ]
机构
[1] Univ Western Australia, Sch Business, Crawley, WA, Australia
[2] Australian Natl Univ, Res Sch Econ, Canberra, ACT, Australia
[3] Australian Natl Univ, Ctr Appl Macroecon Anal, Canberra, ACT, Australia
关键词
ECONOMIC-GROWTH; POLICY; CHINA; IMPACT; WAGES; JAPAN; REFLECTIONS; HISTORY; FUTURE; TRADE;
D O I
10.1111/1475-4932.12357
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
Slack OECD economic performance and weaker macroeconomic policy support Summers's reuse of the phrase secular stagnation'. Globalisation has redirected growth towards emerging economies, and anticipated rates of return on investment are impaired by perceived risk, institutionalised risk aversion, ageing and dependency, declining commitments to public investment and research and development with rising shares directed to health, retained trade distortions, industrial concentration and slower human capital accumulation, not to mention unexpected global abundance of fossil fuels and a slower Chinese economy. The information and literature supporting these concerns is reviewed and implications for global and Australian policy are inferred.
引用
收藏
页码:615 / 650
页数:36
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [1] Secular stagnation
    Hansen, Alvin H.
    TRIMESTRE ECONOMICO, 2020, 87 (348): : 1189 - 1207
  • [2] The Threat of Secular Stagnation
    Janacek, Kamil
    Janackova, Stanislava
    POLITICKA EKONOMIE, 2018, 66 (01) : 116 - 135
  • [3] Theory of secular Stagnation
    Sznahovich, J.
    ZEITSCHRIFT FUR NATIONALOKONOMIE, 1954, 15 (1-2): : 234 - 235
  • [4] THE CONCEPT OF SECULAR STAGNATION
    Higgins, Benjamin
    AMERICAN ECONOMIC REVIEW, 1950, 40 (01): : 160 - 166
  • [5] Secular stagnation or stagnation policy? Steindl after Summers
    Hein, Eckhard
    PSL QUARTERLY REVIEW, 2016, 69 (276) : 3 - 47
  • [6] Secular Stagnation in the Open Economy
    Eggertsson, Gauti B.
    Mehrotra, Neil R.
    Summers, Lawrence H.
    AMERICAN ECONOMIC REVIEW, 2016, 106 (05): : 503 - 507
  • [7] Secular Stagnation and Macroeconomic Policy
    Summers, Lawrence H.
    IMF ECONOMIC REVIEW, 2018, 66 (02) : 226 - 250
  • [8] Debt Supercycle, Not Secular Stagnation
    Rogoff, Kenneth
    PROGRESS AND CONFUSION: THE STATE OF MACROECONOMIC POLICY, 2016, : 19 - 27
  • [9] On Secular Stagnation in the Industrialized World
    Rachel, Lukasz
    Summers, Lawrence H.
    BROOKINGS PAPERS ON ECONOMIC ACTIVITY, 2019, : 1 - 54
  • [10] Secular stagnation in the modern world
    Drobyshevsky, Sergey M.
    Trunin, Pavel V.
    Bozhechkova, Alexandra V.
    VOPROSY EKONOMIKI, 2018, (11): : 125 - 141