An Improved COVID-19 Forecasting by Infectious Disease Modelling Using Machine Learning

被引:6
作者
Ahmad, Hafiz Farooq [1 ]
Khaloofi, Huda [1 ]
Azhar, Zahra [2 ]
Algosaibi, Abdulelah [1 ]
Hussain, Jamil [3 ]
机构
[1] King Faisal Univ, Dept Comp Sci, Coll Comp Sci & Informat Technol CCSIT, Al Hasa 31982, Saudi Arabia
[2] Univ Calif Santa Cruz, Dept Mol Cell & Dev Biol, Santa Cruz, CA 95064 USA
[3] Sejong Univ, Dept Data Sci, Seoul 05006, South Korea
来源
APPLIED SCIENCES-BASEL | 2021年 / 11卷 / 23期
关键词
COVID-19; forecasting; artificial intelligence; epidemiological; epidemiological model; machine learning; deep learning; infectious disease modelling; SPREAD; NUMBER;
D O I
10.3390/app112311426
中图分类号
O6 [化学];
学科分类号
0703 ;
摘要
The mechanisms of data analytics and machine learning can allow for a profound conceptualization of viruses (such as pathogen transmission rate and behavior). Consequently, such models have been widely employed to provide rapid and accurate viral spread forecasts to public health officials. Nevertheless, the capability of these algorithms to predict outbreaks is not capable of long-term predictions. Thus, the development of superior models is crucial to strengthen disease prevention strategies and long-term COVID-19 forecasting accuracy. This paper provides a comparative analysis of COVID-19 forecasting models, including the Deep Learning (DL) approach and its examination of the circulation and transmission of COVID-19 in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA), Kuwait, Bahrain, and the UAE.
引用
收藏
页数:38
相关论文
共 34 条
[1]  
[Anonymous], COVID LIVE UPDATE 22
[2]  
[Anonymous], 2019, KAGGLE NOVEL CORONA
[3]   Modeling the spatial spread of infectious diseases: The GLobal Epidemic and Mobility computational model [J].
Balcan, Duygu ;
Goncalves, Bruno ;
Hu, Hao ;
Ramasco, Jose J. ;
Colizza, Vittoria ;
Vespignani, Alessandro .
JOURNAL OF COMPUTATIONAL SCIENCE, 2010, 1 (03) :132-145
[4]  
Botha A.E., 2020, ARXIV200310532, P1
[5]   Predicting Infectious Disease Using Deep Learning and Big Data [J].
Chae, Sangwon ;
Kwon, Sungjun ;
Lee, Donghyun .
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH, 2018, 15 (08)
[6]   A simple approximate mathematical model to predict the number of severe acute respiratory syndrome cases and deaths [J].
Choi, BCK ;
Pak, AWP .
JOURNAL OF EPIDEMIOLOGY AND COMMUNITY HEALTH, 2003, 57 (10) :831-835
[7]   Social and News Media Enable Estimation of Epidemiological Patterns Early in the 2010 Haitian Cholera Outbreak [J].
Chunara, Rumi ;
Andrews, Jason R. ;
Brownstein, John S. .
AMERICAN JOURNAL OF TROPICAL MEDICINE AND HYGIENE, 2012, 86 (01) :39-45
[8]   A SIR model assumption for the spread of COVID-19 in different communities [J].
Cooper, Ian ;
Mondal, Argha ;
Antonopoulos, Chris G. .
CHAOS SOLITONS & FRACTALS, 2020, 139
[9]   Forecasting of COVID-19 cases using deep learning models: Is it reliable and practically significant? [J].
Devaraj, Jayanthi ;
Elavarasan, Rajvikram Madurai ;
Pugazhendhi, Rishi ;
Shafiullah, G. M. ;
Ganesan, Sumathi ;
Jeysree, Ajay Kaarthic ;
Khan, Irfan Ahmad ;
Hossain, Eklas .
RESULTS IN PHYSICS, 2021, 21
[10]   Demographic science aids in understanding the spread and fatality rates of COVID-19 [J].
Dowd, Jennifer Beam ;
Andriano, Liliana ;
Brazel, David M. ;
Rotondi, Valentina ;
Block, Per ;
Ding, Xuejie ;
Liu, Yan ;
Mills, Melinda C. .
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, 2020, 117 (18) :9696-9698