A REALISTIC EU VISION OF A LIGNITE-BASED ENERGY SYSTEM IN TRANSITION: CASE STUDY OF SERBIA

被引:10
作者
Batas Bjelic, Ilija [1 ]
Rajakovic, Nikola [1 ]
Cosic, Boris [2 ]
Duic, Neven [2 ]
机构
[1] Univ Belgrade, Sch Elect Engn, Belgrade, Serbia
[2] Univ Zagreb, Fac Mech Engn & Naval Architecture, Zagreb 41000, Croatia
来源
THERMAL SCIENCE | 2015年 / 19卷 / 02期
关键词
lignite; national energy system; energy transition; Europe; 202020; goals; simulation model; CO2; tax; WIND POWER; MARKET;
D O I
10.2298/TSCI140613118B
中图分类号
O414.1 [热力学];
学科分类号
摘要
Several contracting parties to the treaty establishing the Energy Community of the South East Europe, currently in energy transition, have electricity production dominantly based on lignite which contrasts their new reality. Planning approach to designing a new feasible energy policy is presented in this paper. This novel approach in using EnergyPLAN tool stems from analysis of market operation of lignite thermal power plants on hourly basis, and quantification of the feasibility of the energy policy and its alignment with EU vision, and is presented in few scenarios. It was found out that the Serbian energy system is highly sensitive to the electricity market and CO2 tax increase, because the marginal costs for lignite generation will increase to more than 50 (sic)/MWh. Shifting in the merit order will be observed even at lower CO2 tax levels, because of the intensity of the emission of the electricity sector (calculated to be higher than 700 gCO(2)/kWh(e), according to current energy policy). Based on the increased use of renewable energy sources and more efficient energy conversion technologies, socio-economic and energy policy feasibility would be increased, while long-term marginal costs would be improved by 2 (sic)/MWh and emission intensity by 258 gCO(2)/kWhe, compared to the current energy policy. These contributions, shown in the Serbian case, are of general importance for other lignite dominated contracting parties to Treaty establishing the Energy Community.
引用
收藏
页码:371 / 382
页数:12
相关论文
共 40 条
  • [1] [Anonymous], 2013, STUDY NEED MODERNIZA
  • [2] [Anonymous], 2010, INITIAL NATL COMMUNI
  • [3] [Anonymous], 2013, PCR EUPHEMIA PUBLIC
  • [4] [Anonymous], 2012, PRIORITY PROJECTS MI
  • [5] [Anonymous], 2011, SUTDY POTENTIAL CLIM
  • [6] [Anonymous], 2011, FOSSIL FUEL SUBSIDIE
  • [7] [Anonymous], 2012, DRAFT NATL RENEWABLE
  • [8] [Anonymous], 2010, ENERGY 2020: A strategy for competitive, sustainable and secure energy
  • [9] [Anonymous], 2006, Treaty establishing the Energy Community (TEEC)
  • [10] [Anonymous], 2013, ENERGY STRATEGY ENER