The Short-term Wind Power Prediction Based on the Neural Network of Logistic Mapping Phase Space Reconstruction
被引:0
作者:
Han Yajun
论文数: 0引用数: 0
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机构:
Chongqing Creat Vocat Coll, Sch Mech & Elect Engn, Chongqing 402160, Peoples R ChinaChongqing Creat Vocat Coll, Sch Mech & Elect Engn, Chongqing 402160, Peoples R China
Han Yajun
[1
]
Yang Xiaoqiang
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Chongqing Creat Vocat Coll, Sch Mech & Elect Engn, Chongqing 402160, Peoples R ChinaChongqing Creat Vocat Coll, Sch Mech & Elect Engn, Chongqing 402160, Peoples R China
Yang Xiaoqiang
[1
]
机构:
[1] Chongqing Creat Vocat Coll, Sch Mech & Elect Engn, Chongqing 402160, Peoples R China
来源:
2015 SEVENTH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON MEASURING TECHNOLOGY AND MECHATRONICS AUTOMATION (ICMTMA 2015)
|
2015年
关键词:
Phase space reconstruction;
complex self-correlation method;
false zero method;
BP neural network;
wind speed forecast;
D O I:
10.1109/ICMTMA.2015.314
中图分类号:
TP [自动化技术、计算机技术];
学科分类号:
0812 ;
摘要:
It is difficult to be accurately predicted for wind power generation's random, intermittent and volatility. According to the strong chaotic characteristics of wind speed, the optimal time delay and embedding dimensions of wind speed are determined by using a short-term prediction of phase space reconstruction theory. After the sample space is reconstructed, the short-term wind speed is carried out by BP neural network. The experimental results show that the higher forecasting accuracy of short-term power generation can be obtained.