The Short-term Wind Power Prediction Based on the Neural Network of Logistic Mapping Phase Space Reconstruction

被引:0
作者
Han Yajun [1 ]
Yang Xiaoqiang [1 ]
机构
[1] Chongqing Creat Vocat Coll, Sch Mech & Elect Engn, Chongqing 402160, Peoples R China
来源
2015 SEVENTH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON MEASURING TECHNOLOGY AND MECHATRONICS AUTOMATION (ICMTMA 2015) | 2015年
关键词
Phase space reconstruction; complex self-correlation method; false zero method; BP neural network; wind speed forecast;
D O I
10.1109/ICMTMA.2015.314
中图分类号
TP [自动化技术、计算机技术];
学科分类号
0812 ;
摘要
It is difficult to be accurately predicted for wind power generation's random, intermittent and volatility. According to the strong chaotic characteristics of wind speed, the optimal time delay and embedding dimensions of wind speed are determined by using a short-term prediction of phase space reconstruction theory. After the sample space is reconstructed, the short-term wind speed is carried out by BP neural network. The experimental results show that the higher forecasting accuracy of short-term power generation can be obtained.
引用
收藏
页码:1287 / 1290
页数:4
相关论文
共 13 条
  • [1] Andersmalmberg Ulla Holst, 2005, OCEAN ENG, V32, P273
  • [2] Short term wind speed forecasting in La Venta, Oaxaca, Mexico, using artificial neural networks
    Cadenas, Erasmo
    Rivera, Wilfrido
    [J]. RENEWABLE ENERGY, 2009, 34 (01) : 274 - 278
  • [3] Wind speed forecasting in three different regions of Mexico, using a hybrid ARIMA-ANN model
    Cadenas, Erasmo
    Rivera, Wilfrido
    [J]. RENEWABLE ENERGY, 2010, 35 (12) : 2732 - 2738
  • [4] ARMA based approaches for forecasting the tuple of wind speed and direction
    Erdem, Ergin
    Shi, Jing
    [J]. APPLIED ENERGY, 2011, 88 (04) : 1405 - 1414
  • [5] Current methods and advances in forecasting of wind power generation
    Foley, Aoife M.
    Leahy, Paul G.
    Marvuglia, Antonino
    McKeogh, Eamon J.
    [J]. RENEWABLE ENERGY, 2012, 37 (01) : 1 - 8
  • [6] USE OF TIME-SERIES ANALYSIS TO MODEL AND FORECAST WIND-SPEED
    HUANG, Z
    CHALABI, ZS
    [J]. JOURNAL OF WIND ENGINEERING AND INDUSTRIAL AERODYNAMICS, 1995, 56 (2-3) : 311 - 322
  • [7] Day-ahead wind speed forecasting using f-ARIMA models
    Kavasseri, Rajesh G.
    Seetharaman, Krithika
    [J]. RENEWABLE ENERGY, 2009, 34 (05) : 1388 - 1393
  • [8] Improvements in wind speed forecasts for wind power prediction purposes using Kalman filtering
    Louka, P.
    Galanis, G.
    Siebert, N.
    Kariniotaki, G.
    Katsafados, P.
    Pytharoulis, I.
    Kallos, G.
    [J]. JOURNAL OF WIND ENGINEERING AND INDUSTRIAL AERODYNAMICS, 2008, 96 (12) : 2348 - 2362
  • [9] Lu Renjiang, 2010, MARINE ENV SCI, V29
  • [10] A review on the forecasting of wind speed and generated power
    Ma Lei
    Luan Shiyan
    Jiang Chuanwen
    Liu Hongling
    Zhang Yan
    [J]. RENEWABLE & SUSTAINABLE ENERGY REVIEWS, 2009, 13 (04) : 915 - 920