The Rich Domain of Risk

被引:20
作者
Armantier, Olivier [1 ]
Treich, Nicolas [2 ]
机构
[1] Fed Reserve Bank New York, New York, NY 10045 USA
[2] Toulouse Sch Econ LERNA INRA, F-31000 Toulouse, France
关键词
decision analysis; risk; utility preference; theory; PROPER SCORING RULES; EXPECTED UTILITY; PROSPECT-THEORY; UNCERTAINTY; AMBIGUITY; PROBABILITY; COMPLEXITY; ATTITUDES; DECISION; AVERSION;
D O I
10.1287/mnsc.2015.2215
中图分类号
C93 [管理学];
学科分类号
12 ; 1201 ; 1202 ; 120202 ;
摘要
We report on two experiments challenging the common assumption that events with objective probabilities constitute a unique source of uncertainty. We find that, similar to the domain of ambiguity, the domain of risk is rich in the sense that behavior is systematically different when subjects face risky bets based on simple or more complex events. Furthermore, we find a tight association between attitudes toward complex risky bets and attitudes toward both ambiguity and compound lotteries. These results raise questions about the characterization of ambiguity aversion and the modeling of decisions under uncertainty.
引用
收藏
页码:1954 / 1969
页数:16
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