A machine learning model of response to hypomethylating agents in myelodysplastic syndromes

被引:9
作者
Radakovich, Nathan [1 ,2 ]
Sallman, David A. [3 ]
Buckstein, Rena [4 ]
Brunner, Andrew [5 ]
Dezern, Amy [6 ]
Mukerjee, Sudipto [7 ]
Komrokji, Rami [3 ]
Al-Ali, Najla [3 ]
Shreve, Jacob [8 ]
Rouphail, Yazan [9 ]
Parmentier, Anne [4 ]
Mamedov, Alexandre [4 ]
Siddiqui, Mohammed [4 ]
Guan, Yihong [10 ]
Kuzmanovic, Teodora [10 ]
Hasipek, Metis [10 ]
Jha, Babal [10 ]
Maciejewski, Jaroslaw P. [10 ]
Sekeres, Mikkael A. [11 ]
Nazha, Aziz [12 ]
机构
[1] Cleveland Clin, Leukemia Program, Dept Hematol & Med Oncol, Taussig Canc Inst, Cleveland, OH 44106 USA
[2] Case Western Reserve Univ, Cleveland Clin, Lerner Coll Med, Cleveland, OH 44106 USA
[3] H Lee Moffitt Canc Ctr & Res Inst, Dept Malignant Hematol, Tampa, FL USA
[4] Sunnybrook Hlth Sci Ctr, Odette Canc Ctr, Toronto, ON, Canada
[5] Massachusetts Gen Hosp, Boston, MA 02114 USA
[6] Johns Hopkins Sidney Kimmel Comprehens Canc Ctr, Baltimore, MD USA
[7] Cleveland Clin, Dept Hematol & Med Oncol, Taussig Canc Inst, Cleveland, OH 44106 USA
[8] Cleveland Clin, Dept Internal Med, Cleveland, OH 44106 USA
[9] Ohio State Univ, Columbus, OH 43210 USA
[10] Cleveland Clin, Dept Translat Hematol & Oncol Res, Taussig Canc Inst, Cleveland, OH 44106 USA
[11] Univ Miami, Div Hematol, Sylvester Comprehens Canc Ctr, Miami, FL USA
[12] Thomas Jefferson Univ, Dept Oncol, Sidney Kimmel Canc Ctr, Philadelphia, PA 19107 USA
关键词
ADAPTED THERAPY; MDS;
D O I
10.1016/j.isci.2022.104931
中图分类号
O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
Hypomethylating agents (HMA) prolong survival and improve cytopenias in indi-viduals with higher-risk myelodysplastic syndrome (MDS). Only 30-40% of pa-tients, however, respond to HMAs, and responses may not occur for more than 6 months after HMA initiation. We developed a model to more rapidly assess HMA response by analyzing early changes in patients' blood counts. Three insti-tutions' data were used to develop a model that assessed patients' response to therapy 90 days after the initiation using serial blood counts. The model was developed with a training cohort of 424 patients from 2 institutions and validated on an independent cohort of 90 patients. The final model achieved an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of 0.79 in the train/test group and 0.84 in the validation group. The model provides cohort-wide and in-dividual-level explanations for model predictions, and model certainty can be interrogated to gauge the reliability of a given prediction.
引用
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页数:12
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