Analysis of Granger Causality between Migration and Gross Domestic Product in Romania

被引：0

作者：

Paunica, Mihai ^{[1
]}

Manole, Alexandru ^{[2
]}

Motofei, Catalina ^{[1
]}

Tanase, Gabriela Lidia ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Bucharest Univ Econ Studies, Bucharest, Romania

[2] ARTIFEX Univ Bucharest, Bucharest, Romania

来源：

INNOVATIVE MODELS TO REVIVE THE GLOBAL ECONOMY | 2020年

关键词：

migration; immigration; GDP; causality; model; ECONOMIC-GROWTH; IMMIGRATION; IMPACT;

D O I：

10.2478/9788366675162-095

中图分类号：

F [经济];

学科分类号：

02 ;

摘要：

In this paper, we aim at evaluating any relationship of causality between migration indicators (both emigration and immigration) and GDP for Romania, including an analysis considering the countries of destination and origin. On the basis of official statistical data, we hope to reach a valid conclusion as to whether the migration phenomenon poses a definitive influence on the GDP. The type of causality studied is the Granger one, by pursuing the Toda-Yamamoto methodology, as the GDP, considered for the purposes of this paper as GDP per capita, is highly expected to be non-stationary. The assessment of causality will aim the two directions, by pairs of indicators, emigration-GDP, immigration-GDP and net migration-GDP.

引用

页码：949 / 957

页数：9

共 22 条

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Atoyan MrRuben., 2016, Emigration and its economic impact on Eastern Europe

[2]

Blouchoutzim A., 2014, East-West Journal of Economics and Business, V17, P97

[3]

Borjas G J., 2019, Immigration and Economic Growth

[4] THE ECONOMIC-BENEFITS FROM IMMIGRATION [J].