A COVID-19 EPIDEMIC MODEL PREDICTING THE EFFECTIVENESS OF VACCINATION

被引:7
作者
Webb, Glenn [1 ]
机构
[1] Vanderbilt Univ, Math Dept, Nashville, TN 37235 USA
来源
MATHEMATICS IN APPLIED SCIENCES AND ENGINEERING | 2021年 / 2卷 / 02期
关键词
epidemic; cases; transmission; asymptomatic; symptomatic; vaccination;
D O I
10.5206/mase/13889
中图分类号
O29 [应用数学];
学科分类号
070104 ;
摘要
A model of a COVID-19 epidemic is developed to predict the effectiveness of vaccination. The model incorporates key features of COVID-19 epidemics: asymptomatic and symptomatic infectiousness, reported and unreported cases, and social measures that decrease infection transmission. The model incorporates key features of vaccination: vaccination efficiency, vaccination scheduling, and relaxation of social measures that increase infection transmission as vaccination is implemented. The model is applied to predict vaccination effectiveness in the United Kingdom.
引用
收藏
页码:134 / 148
页数:15
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