Expert System for Ice Hockey Game Prediction: Data Mining with Human Judgment

被引：21

作者：

Gu, Wei ^{[1
]}

Saaty, Thomas L. ^{[2
]}

Whitaker, Rozann ^{[3
]}

机构：

[1] Univ Sci & Technol Beijing, Donlinks Sch Econ & Management, Beijing 100083, Peoples R China

[2] Univ Pittsburgh, Joseph M Katz Grad Sch Business, Pittsburgh, PA 15206 USA

[3] Creat Decis Fdn, Pittsburgh, PA 15213 USA

来源：

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY & DECISION MAKING | 2016年 / 15卷 / 04期

基金：

中国国家自然科学基金;

关键词：

Prediction; expert system; hockey game; data analysis; judgment;

D O I：

10.1142/S0219622016400022

中图分类号：

TP18 [人工智能理论];

学科分类号：

081104 ; 0812 ; 0835 ; 1405 ;

摘要：

This paper describes an expert system to predict National Hockey League (NHL) game outcome. A new method based on both data and judgments is used to estimate the hockey game performance. There are many facts and judgments that could influence an outcome. We employed the support vector machine to determine the importance of these factors before we incorporate them into the prediction system. Our system combines data and judgments and used them to predict the win-lose outcome of all the 89 post-season games before they took place. The accuracy of our prediction with the combined factors was 77.5%. This is to date the best accuracy reported of hockey games prediction.

引用

页码：763 / 789

页数：27

共 50 条

[1] Expert System for Icing Prediction and Ice Melting Control
刘和云
汤文斌
顾晓松
JournalofDonghuaUniversity(EnglishEdition), 2010, 27 (02) : 173 - 176
[2] Feature selection for medical data mining: Comparisons of expert judgment and automatic approaches
Cheng, Tsang-Hsiang
Wei, Chih-Ping
Tseng, Vincent S.
19TH IEEE INTERNATIONAL SYMPOSIUM ON COMPUTER-BASED MEDICAL SYSTEMS, PROCEEDINGS, 2006, : 165 - 170
[3] Fuzzy data mining and expert system development
Turksen, IB
1998 IEEE INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON SYSTEMS, MAN, AND CYBERNETICS, VOLS 1-5, 1998, : 2057 - 2062
[4] Human Heart Disease Prediction System using Data Mining Techniques
Princy, Theresa R.
Thomas, J.
PROCEEDINGS OF IEEE INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON CIRCUIT, POWER AND COMPUTING TECHNOLOGIES (ICCPCT 2016), 2016,
[5] Expert System Based on Data Mining and Neural Networks
NI Zhi-wei 1
JournalofSystemsScienceandSystemsEngineering, 2001, (03) : 323 - 327
[6] USING AN EXPERT SYSTEM TO AUTOMATE THE ELEMENT OF CLINICAL JUDGMENT IN DATA ANALYSES
LONG, JM
SLAGLE, JF
WICK, M
MATTS, JP
LEON, AR
CONTROLLED CLINICAL TRIALS, 1986, 7 (03): : 233 - 233
[7] Game Data Mining Competition on Churn Prediction and Survival Analysis Using Commercial Game Log Data
Lee, Eunjo
Jang, Yoonjae
Yoon, Du-Mim
Jeon, Jihoon
Yang, Seong-il
Lee, Sang-Kwang
Kim, Dae-Wook
Chen, Pei Pei
Guitart, Anna
Bertens, Paul
Perianez, Africa
Hadiji, Fabian
Mueller, Marc
Joo, Youngjun
Lee, Jiyeon
Hwang, Inchon
Kim, Kyung-Joong
IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON GAMES, 2019, 11 (03) : 215 - 226
[8] Problem Analysis and Application Research in Legal Judgment Prediction Based on Data Mining
Si, Tianyuan
JOURNAL OF ELECTRICAL SYSTEMS, 2024, 20 (04) : 306 - 316
[9] Bayesian aggregation of expert judgment data for quantification of human failure probabilities for radiotherapy
Podofillini, L.
Pandya, D.
Emert, F.
Lomax, A. J.
Dang, V. N.
Sansavini, G.
SAFETY AND RELIABILITY - SAFE SOCIETIES IN A CHANGING WORLD, 2018, : 501 - 508
[10] Data Mining Based College English Teaching Assistant Expert System
Yang, Liuqing
2021 6TH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON SMART GRID AND ELECTRICAL AUTOMATION (ICSGEA 2021), 2021, : 280 - 283

← 1 2 3 4 5 →