Course grades as actionable early warning indicators: predicting high school graduation in an urban school district

被引:1
作者
Marshall, David T. [1 ]
机构
[1] Auburn Univ, 4036 Haley Ctr, Auburn, AL 36849 USA
来源
PREVENTING SCHOOL FAILURE | 2022年 / 66卷 / 03期
关键词
Dropout; early warning indicators; grades; graduation; high school; logistic regression modeling; DROPOUT RATES; STUDENT; RETENTION; RISK;
D O I
10.1080/1045988X.2022.2028715
中图分类号
G40 [教育学];
学科分类号
040101 ; 120403 ;
摘要
Using administrative data from an urban school district, two series of predictive models were tested for their ability to project a student's high school graduation status. The models included student grades, attendance, behavior, demographic predictors, and school-level variables. Eighth and ninth-grade variables were tested for two graduation cohorts (n = 2773) and multilevel logistic regression analyses were conducted to analyze the data. Most early warning indicator (EWI) models include end-of-course grades as predictors. This study operationalizes course failure as having failed a single marking period in the eighth grade or having failed a single semester in the ninth grade. Findings offer practitioners an actionable course grades based EWI, allowing for intervention after a single marking period of failure.
引用
收藏
页码:206 / 213
页数:8
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