Lifetime risk of hip fractures is underestimated

被引：140

作者：

Oden, A

Dawson, A

Dere, W

Johnell, O

Jonsson, B

Kanis, JA

机构：

[1] Univ Sheffield, Sch Med, Ctr Metab Bone Dis, WHO,Collaborating Ctr, Sheffield S10 2RX, S Yorkshire, England

[2] Lilly Res Ctr Ltd, Windlesham GU20 6PH, Surrey, England

[3] Indiana Univ, Sch Med, Indianapolis, IN USA

[4] Lilly Res Labs, Indianapolis, IN USA

[5] Malmo Gen Hosp, Dept Orthopaed, S-21401 Malmo, Sweden

[6] Stockholm Sch Econ, Dept Econ, S-11383 Stockholm, Sweden

来源：

OSTEOPOROSIS INTERNATIONAL | 1998年 / 8卷 / 06期

关键词：

hip fracture; lifetime risk; mortality;

D O I：

10.1007/s001980050105

中图分类号：

R5 [内科学];

学科分类号：

1002 ; 100201 ;

摘要：

Estimates of lifetime risk of osteoporotic fracture have assumed that mortality rates do not change. Since mortality in the elderly is decreasing in all regions of the world we assessed the effect of this on lifetime risks for hip fracture using Sweden as a reference country. Lifetime risks of hip fracture at the age of 50 years were 4.6% and 13.9% in men and women respectively, assuming all survive to current average life expectancy. Estimates increased to 8.1% and 19.5% when based on present mortality and to 11.1% and 22.7% respectively based on predicted mortality. We conclude that lifetime risks of hip fracture have been considerably underestimated.

引用

页码：599 / 603

页数：5

共 17 条

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