The large peatland carbon stocks in the land use change-affected areas of equatorial Asia are vulnerable to fire. Combining satellite observations of active fire, burned area, and atmospheric concentrations of combustion tracers with a Bayesian inversion, we estimated the amount and variability of fire carbon emissions in equatorial Asia over the period 1997-2015. Emissions in 2015 were of 0.510.17Pg carbonless than half of the emissions from the previous 1997 extreme El Nino, explained by a less acute water deficit. Fire severity could be empirically hindcasted from the cumulative water deficit with a lead time of 1 to 2months. Based on CMIP5 climate projections and an exponential empirical relationship found between fire carbon emissions and water deficit, we infer a total fire carbon loss ranging from 12 to 25Pg by 2100 which is a significant positive feedback to climate warming.
机构:
Ctr Global Dev, Washington, DC 20036 USACtr Global Dev, Washington, DC 20036 USA
Busch, Jonah
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Ferretti-Gallon, Kalifi
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h-index: 0
机构:
Ctr Global Dev, Washington, DC 20036 USACtr Global Dev, Washington, DC 20036 USA
Ferretti-Gallon, Kalifi
;
Engelmann, Jens
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h-index: 0
机构:
Ctr Global Dev, Washington, DC 20036 USACtr Global Dev, Washington, DC 20036 USA
Engelmann, Jens
;
Wright, Max
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h-index: 0
机构:
Conservat Int, Betty & Gordon Moore Ctr Sci & Oceans, Arlington, VA 22202 USACtr Global Dev, Washington, DC 20036 USA
Wright, Max
;
Austin, Kemen G.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
World Resources Inst, Food Forests & Water Program, Washington, DC 20002 USA
Duke Univ, Nicholas Sch Environm, Durham, NC 27708 USACtr Global Dev, Washington, DC 20036 USA
Austin, Kemen G.
;
Stolle, Fred
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
World Resources Inst, Food Forests & Water Program, Washington, DC 20002 USACtr Global Dev, Washington, DC 20036 USA
Stolle, Fred
;
Turubanova, Svetlana
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Maryland, Dept Geol Sci, College Pk, MD 20742 USACtr Global Dev, Washington, DC 20036 USA
Turubanova, Svetlana
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Potapov, Peter V.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Maryland, Dept Geol Sci, College Pk, MD 20742 USACtr Global Dev, Washington, DC 20036 USA
Potapov, Peter V.
;
Margono, Belinda
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Maryland, Dept Geol Sci, College Pk, MD 20742 USACtr Global Dev, Washington, DC 20036 USA
Margono, Belinda
;
Hansen, Matthew C.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Maryland, Dept Geol Sci, College Pk, MD 20742 USACtr Global Dev, Washington, DC 20036 USA
Hansen, Matthew C.
;
Baccini, Alessandro
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Woods Hole Res Ctr, Falmouth, MA 02540 USACtr Global Dev, Washington, DC 20036 USA
机构:
Yale Univ, Sch Forestry & Environm Studies, New Haven, CT 06511 USA
Stanford Univ, Woods Inst Environm, Stanford, CA 94305 USA
Stanford Univ, Dept Anthropol, Stanford, CA 94305 USAYale Univ, Sch Forestry & Environm Studies, New Haven, CT 06511 USA
Carlson, Kimberly M.
;
Curran, Lisa M.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Yale Univ, Sch Forestry & Environm Studies, New Haven, CT 06511 USA
Stanford Univ, Woods Inst Environm, Stanford, CA 94305 USA
Stanford Univ, Dept Anthropol, Stanford, CA 94305 USA
Santa Fe Inst, Santa Fe, NM 87501 USAYale Univ, Sch Forestry & Environm Studies, New Haven, CT 06511 USA
Curran, Lisa M.
;
Ratnasari, Dessy
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h-index: 0
机构:
Living Landscapes Indonesia, Pontianak 78121, West Kalimantan, IndonesiaYale Univ, Sch Forestry & Environm Studies, New Haven, CT 06511 USA
Ratnasari, Dessy
;
Pittman, Alice M.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Yale Univ, Sch Forestry & Environm Studies, New Haven, CT 06511 USA
Stanford Univ, Woods Inst Environm, Stanford, CA 94305 USA
Stanford Univ, Dept Anthropol, Stanford, CA 94305 USAYale Univ, Sch Forestry & Environm Studies, New Haven, CT 06511 USA
机构:
Stanford Univ, Woods Inst Environm, Stanford, CA 94305 USA
Living Landscapes Indonesia, Pontianak 78121, West Kalimantan, IndonesiaYale Univ, Sch Forestry & Environm Studies, New Haven, CT 06511 USA
Gaveau, David A.
;
Lawrence, Deborah
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Virginia, Dept Environm Sci, Charlottesville, VA 22904 USAYale Univ, Sch Forestry & Environm Studies, New Haven, CT 06511 USA
机构:
Ctr Global Dev, Washington, DC 20036 USACtr Global Dev, Washington, DC 20036 USA
Busch, Jonah
;
Ferretti-Gallon, Kalifi
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Ctr Global Dev, Washington, DC 20036 USACtr Global Dev, Washington, DC 20036 USA
Ferretti-Gallon, Kalifi
;
Engelmann, Jens
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Ctr Global Dev, Washington, DC 20036 USACtr Global Dev, Washington, DC 20036 USA
Engelmann, Jens
;
Wright, Max
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Conservat Int, Betty & Gordon Moore Ctr Sci & Oceans, Arlington, VA 22202 USACtr Global Dev, Washington, DC 20036 USA
Wright, Max
;
Austin, Kemen G.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
World Resources Inst, Food Forests & Water Program, Washington, DC 20002 USA
Duke Univ, Nicholas Sch Environm, Durham, NC 27708 USACtr Global Dev, Washington, DC 20036 USA
Austin, Kemen G.
;
Stolle, Fred
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
World Resources Inst, Food Forests & Water Program, Washington, DC 20002 USACtr Global Dev, Washington, DC 20036 USA
Stolle, Fred
;
Turubanova, Svetlana
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Maryland, Dept Geol Sci, College Pk, MD 20742 USACtr Global Dev, Washington, DC 20036 USA
Turubanova, Svetlana
;
Potapov, Peter V.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Maryland, Dept Geol Sci, College Pk, MD 20742 USACtr Global Dev, Washington, DC 20036 USA
Potapov, Peter V.
;
Margono, Belinda
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Maryland, Dept Geol Sci, College Pk, MD 20742 USACtr Global Dev, Washington, DC 20036 USA
Margono, Belinda
;
Hansen, Matthew C.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Maryland, Dept Geol Sci, College Pk, MD 20742 USACtr Global Dev, Washington, DC 20036 USA
Hansen, Matthew C.
;
Baccini, Alessandro
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Woods Hole Res Ctr, Falmouth, MA 02540 USACtr Global Dev, Washington, DC 20036 USA
机构:
Yale Univ, Sch Forestry & Environm Studies, New Haven, CT 06511 USA
Stanford Univ, Woods Inst Environm, Stanford, CA 94305 USA
Stanford Univ, Dept Anthropol, Stanford, CA 94305 USAYale Univ, Sch Forestry & Environm Studies, New Haven, CT 06511 USA
Carlson, Kimberly M.
;
Curran, Lisa M.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Yale Univ, Sch Forestry & Environm Studies, New Haven, CT 06511 USA
Stanford Univ, Woods Inst Environm, Stanford, CA 94305 USA
Stanford Univ, Dept Anthropol, Stanford, CA 94305 USA
Santa Fe Inst, Santa Fe, NM 87501 USAYale Univ, Sch Forestry & Environm Studies, New Haven, CT 06511 USA
Curran, Lisa M.
;
Ratnasari, Dessy
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Living Landscapes Indonesia, Pontianak 78121, West Kalimantan, IndonesiaYale Univ, Sch Forestry & Environm Studies, New Haven, CT 06511 USA
Ratnasari, Dessy
;
Pittman, Alice M.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Yale Univ, Sch Forestry & Environm Studies, New Haven, CT 06511 USA
Stanford Univ, Woods Inst Environm, Stanford, CA 94305 USA
Stanford Univ, Dept Anthropol, Stanford, CA 94305 USAYale Univ, Sch Forestry & Environm Studies, New Haven, CT 06511 USA
机构:
Stanford Univ, Woods Inst Environm, Stanford, CA 94305 USA
Living Landscapes Indonesia, Pontianak 78121, West Kalimantan, IndonesiaYale Univ, Sch Forestry & Environm Studies, New Haven, CT 06511 USA
Gaveau, David A.
;
Lawrence, Deborah
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Virginia, Dept Environm Sci, Charlottesville, VA 22904 USAYale Univ, Sch Forestry & Environm Studies, New Haven, CT 06511 USA