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On the Economic fundamentals behind the Dynamic Equicorrelations among Asset classes: Global evidence from Equities, Real estate, and Commodities
被引:9
|作者:
Karanasos, M.
[1
]
Yfanti, S.
[2
]
机构:
[1] Brunel Univ London, Econ & Finance, Uxbridge UB8 3PH, Middx, England
[2] Loughborough Univ, Loughborough, Leics, England
来源:
JOURNAL OF INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL MARKETS INSTITUTIONS & MONEY
|
2021年
/
74卷
关键词:
Commodities;
Cross-asset dynamic equicorrelations;
Economic policy uncertainty;
Global equities;
Macro-financial linkages;
REITs;
POLICY UNCERTAINTY;
POLITICAL UNCERTAINTY;
MACROECONOMIC UNCERTAINTY;
VOLATILITY SPILLOVERS;
FINANCIAL-MARKETS;
STOCK RETURNS;
UNITED-STATES;
CO-MOVEMENTS;
CRUDE-OIL;
US;
D O I:
10.1016/j.intfin.2021.101292
中图分类号:
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号:
0202 ;
摘要:
We reveal the macroeconomic determinants of the dynamic correlations between three global asset markets: equities, real estate, and commodities. Conditional equicorrelations, computed by the GJR-GARCH-DECO model, are explained by the macro-financial proxies of economic policy and financial uncertainty, credit conditions, economic activity, business and consumer confidence, and geopolitical risk. Our results suggest that elevated crossasset correlations are associated with higher uncertainty, tighter credit conditions, and lower geopolitical risk, while lower correlations are related to stronger economic activity, business, and consumer confidence. We further focus on economic policy uncertainty (EPU) as a potent catalyst of the asset markets integration process and conclude that EPU magnifies all macro-effects across all correlations. Lastly, we investigate the global financial crisis effect on the time-varying impact of the correlations' macro-drivers. The crisis structural break amplifies the influence that all determinants exert on the evolution of correlations apart from the geopolitical risk upshot, which is alleviated after the crisis advent. (C) 2021 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
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